- The Cubs are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cubs vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Cardinals TV Channel: ESPN
The Chicago Cubs () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Cubs are 27-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 25-25 ATS.
Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-0, 1.69 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 6-2, 2.87 ERA
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Cardinals | U |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+18.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+16.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 40 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.30 Units / 124% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.05 Units / 201% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.85 Units / 72% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 27-25 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -5.62% ROI).
- 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 4.64% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -17.47% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 8.3% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 25-25 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -10.27% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -4.78% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -3.74% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .113 (16-for-142) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .403 (197 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .160 (50 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .231 (50 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (34 Total Bases / 249 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has walked 17 of 360 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .536 (15 Total Bases / 28 ABs) with two-strikes — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .559 (360 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 96th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are 26-22 (.542) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Cubs are just 5-81 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 40-40 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 50-53 (.485) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cardinals are just 17-28 (.378) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cardinals are 31-23 (.574) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .204 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .346 (922 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .292 against LHP this month (19 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Cubs hitters are averaging just 3.71 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .204 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .602 (545 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .318 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .438 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .548.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 23 double plays in 393 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 481.0 feet — — tied for 4th longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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