Cubs vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cubs (47-67) are -165 favorites vs the Nationals (39-78)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (4-7), 3.63 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin (4-16), 7.01 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Chicago Cubs (-165) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Cubs vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 47-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 49-68 ATS.

Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +100O 8.5 -105-165
Nationals +1.5 -120U 8.5 -115+135

Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 47 of his last 60 games (+22.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 65 games (+19.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+18.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Joan Adon has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)

Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luke Voit 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Christopher Morel 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Ian Happ 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luke Voit 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Christopher Morel 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Ian Happ 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Nick Madrigal 1.5 +145 1.5 -200

Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luke Voit 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Christopher Morel 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Ian Happ 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Nelson Velazquez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Corbin 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
Justin Steele 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 away games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 104 games (+19.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games at home (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 58-56 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -4.31% ROI).

  • 47-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -14.05% ROI
  • 49-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.55 Units / -11.61% ROI
  • 58-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 3.38% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 49-68 against the Run Line (-27.4 Units / -19.13% ROI).

  • 39-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -21 Units / -17.31% ROI
  • 58-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 0.65% ROI
  • 52-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.15 Units / -8.71% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .126 (19-for-151) against Justin Steele’s non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (3/21) against Justin Steele against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .130 (19-for-146) against Justin Steele’s curve and slider this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 42% (19 SO in 45 PAs) this month (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.

Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Division opponents are hitting .358 (78-for-218) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .322 (58-for-180) against Patrick Corbin’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has an ERA of 9.44 (47.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 4.02 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .952 (352 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .681 — 0 Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cubs are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.

The Cubs are just 17-99 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Cubs are just 19-53 (.264) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cubs are just 24-34 (.414) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Nationals are just 19-42 (.311) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Nationals are just 67-105 (.390) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Nationals are just 12-70 (.146) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Nationals are just 106-16 (.869) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 337 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.

The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 41% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 31% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .330 (5,293 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 269 double plays in 2,057 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.94 (468.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .306 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 6.39 (107.0 IP) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.

Nationals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Luis García (Nationals): Groin, D10
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.