- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cubs vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | MARQ | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-105) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Cubs are 69-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 77-58 ATS.
Cubs vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 6-4, 3.16 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Davidjohn Herz 2-6, 3.82 ERA
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -105 | -115 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -115 | -105 |
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+28.00 Units / 311% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+22.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+19.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 43 games (+18.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 games at home (+22.80 Units / 99% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 59% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+5.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 127 games (+14.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+8.40 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 127 games (+8.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+6.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 66-69 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -8.12% ROI).
- 69-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 0.63% ROI
- 62-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 68-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.07% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 77-58 against the Run Line (+11.03 Units / 6.28% ROI).
- 61-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 3.54% ROI
- 64-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -4.68% ROI
- 65-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.27 Units / -4.19% ROI
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| DJ Herz (WAS) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .420 (243 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .738 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .222 (239 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (27-for-207) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 41% (386/950) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davidjohn Herz has walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 45% (27 SO in 60 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has a strikeout rate of 29% (83 SO in 285 PAs) this season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.
Davidjohn Herz has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (272/851) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Cubs are 34-33 (.507) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are 10-2 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Nationals are just 92-137 (.402) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are 13-6 (.684) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Nationals are just 56-224 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Nationals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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