- The Diamondbacks are -140 favorites vs the Pirates
- Diamondbacks vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Pirates TV Channel: DBTV | SNPT
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 58-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 60-48 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 5-6, 3.91 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 0-0, 26.99 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -140 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 games (+33.40 Units / 167% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 77% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games at home (+14.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 53 games (+18.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 69 games (+14.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 64 games (+9.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 55-54 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -3.52% ROI).
- 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 2.19% ROI
- 59-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.85 Units / 5.67% ROI
- 47-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -14.78% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 60-48 against the Run Line (+9.11 Units / 6.5% ROI).
- 55-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.19% ROI
- 49-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -9.6% ROI
- 55-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.88 Units / 1.59% ROI
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Luis Ortiz (PIT) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .183 (45-for-246) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .227 (260 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 97th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a strike rate of 69% (656/953) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .207 (19-for-92) against Brandon Pfaadt on low fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — 87th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OBP of .423 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has walked 46 of 371 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed an OPS of 1.014 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .480 — first Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has a strikeout rate of just 36% (63 SO in 173 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Diamondbacks are 113-28 (.801) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Diamondbacks are 9-108 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Diamondbacks are just 164-28 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Pirates are 16-10 (.615) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
The Pirates are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Pirates are 62-13 (.827) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Pirates are just 45-60 (.429) after a home win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,345 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,345 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 40 extra-base hits out of 156 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .303 (4,935 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Pirates are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters have 70 strikeouts in 189 PA’s (37%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,511 of 16,597 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 454.0 feet — — 2nd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
