- The Royals are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Royals TV Channel: DBTV | BSKC
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals () on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 51-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 59-42 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 6-5, 6.51 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 7-6, 4.54 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Royals | U |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 away games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games at home (+17.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 51 games at home (+13.94 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games at home (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 51-50 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -4.08% ROI).
- 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 53-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 2.72% ROI
- 45-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -11.49% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 59-42 against the Run Line (+8.49 Units / 6.11% ROI).
- 56-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 8.04% ROI
- 41-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -18.51% ROI
- 56-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 9.68% ROI
Royals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adam Frazier (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .320 (87-for-272) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .338 (77-for-228) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 18% (123 SO in 683 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 16th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OPS of .936 (251 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .697 — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.2 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (70 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Alec Marsh has walked 13 of 96 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .712 (213 Total Bases / 299 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .574 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (73/322) against Alec Marsh this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Diamondbacks are just 113-11 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 176-17 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 109-28 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Royals are just 20-97 (.171) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Royals are just 16-56 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .378.
The Royals are 22-32 (.407) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .277.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .276 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 64% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
25% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,727 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .153.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Royals have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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