- The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Dodgers vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Brewers TV Channel: SNLA | BSWI | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+105) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Dodgers are 71-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 61-58 ATS.
Dodgers vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-4, 5.84 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 5-8, 5.11 ERA
Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -115 | -125 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -105 | +105 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+18.60 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 45 games (+15.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+12.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+18.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+16.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+16.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 games at home (+12.10 Units / 64% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 115 games (+14.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 119 games (+8.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 119 games (+4.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 59-61 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -5.37% ROI).
- 71-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 62-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.42% ROI
- 56-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -9.21% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 61-58 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -0.67% ROI).
- 67-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 5.51% ROI
- 64-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +12 Units / 9.24% ROI
- 48-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.7 Units / -17.2% ROI
Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frankie Montas (MIL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (297/898) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .480 (24-for-50) against Jack Flaherty on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 32% (150 SO in 467 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has struck out 32% (76/240) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has walked 24 of 183 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OBP of .392 (125 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .286 — first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (33 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .408 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .147 (11 GB hits out of 75 GBs) against Frankie Montas with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 148-26 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 248-46 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 44-3 (.936) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 48-119 (.287) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 53-3 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Brewers are 25-18 (.581) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.246 (908 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.074.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .719 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .598.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (12,391 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have drawn 123 walks in 1,181 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .222 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Brewers hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 133 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 22 of 449 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 19 of 409 batters (5%) this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers had allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Brewers have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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