- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
- Dodgers vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Brewers TV Channel: SNLA | BSWI | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+120) on Thursday, August 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Dodgers are 71-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 62-58 ATS.
Dodgers vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 9-5, 2.99 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 6-5, 2.80 ERA
Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -115 | -145 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -105 | +120 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+17.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+17.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+17.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+15.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.70 Units / 146% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 116 games (+15.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 120 games (+9.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 120 games (+5.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 59-62 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.02% ROI).
- 71-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.17% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -9.89% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 62-58 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI).
- 68-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 6.12% ROI
- 65-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +13 Units / 9.92% ROI
- 48-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.7 Units / -17.83% ROI
Brewers vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has not walked any of the 24 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (297/898) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .480 (24-for-50) against Jack Flaherty on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .330 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 32% (150 SO in 467 PAs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .115 (26 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .302 — 97th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has not walked any of the 22 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .182 (44 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 95th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has not walked any of the 22 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 248-46 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 148-26 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 44-3 (.936) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Brewers are 48-119 (.287) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 34-74 (.315) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 41-28 (.594) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (12,425 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (7,916 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (17,253 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (3,090 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 36 extra-base hits out of 133 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have drawn 123 walks in 1,184 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 24% on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (2026.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 4 of 106 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (811.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Brewers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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