Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 28

Colorado Rockies center fielder Brenton Doyle (9) in the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Oct. 1, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Dodgers are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Dodgers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Dodgers / Rockies TV Channel: SNLA | ROTV

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+200) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Dodgers are 96-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 79-81 ATS.

Dodgers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 6-2, 2.97 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 0-0, 3.38 ERA

Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-2.5 -120O 11 -110-250
Rockies +2.5 +100U 11 -110+200

Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 82.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 45 games (+19.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Walks Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.35 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games at home (+16.25 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+15.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 78 games (+21.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 62 games at home (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 79-81 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -3.92% ROI).

  • 96-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -3.42% ROI
  • 88-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.3 Units / 8.13% ROI
  • 67-88 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.85 Units / -16.91% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 79-81 against the Run Line (-15.25 Units / -7.87% ROI).

  • 61-99 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -2.67% ROI
  • 77-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -4.97% ROI
  • 78-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -3.71% ROI

Rockies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +200 0.5 -250
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Rockies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Chris Taylor (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rockies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130

Rockies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Antonio Senzatela (COL) 2.5 -140 2.5 +105
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) 5.5 -135 5.5 +105

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has not allowed a home run in any of the last 41.2 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 87.2.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has not allowed a HR in any of his last eight starts dating back to May 20th — Beau Brieske has the longest active streak at 15.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .535 (167 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 98th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OBP of just .263 (167 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 92nd Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 13% (5/38) against Antonio Senzatela over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Antonio Senzatela has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to May 5th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 6.

Antonio Senzatela had a strike rate of just 56% (41/73) in his last start — 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 13% (5/38) against Antonio Senzatela in his last start — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Dodgers are 166-29 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Dodgers are 266-49 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 302-144 (.677) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Dodgers are 84-41 (.672) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Rockies are just 83-34 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Rockies are just 100-15 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rockies are just 49-9 (.831) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rockies are just 15-37 (.283) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (18,749 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (13,467 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters have 474 extra-base hits out of 1,193 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 408.7 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (2216.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,358 of 17,863 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 22 of 212 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (24 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.