- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Athletics
- Guardians / Athletics TV Channel: BSGL | NSCA
The Cleveland Guardians (-135) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+115) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Guardians are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 0-1 ATS.
Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -120 | -135 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -155 | U 8 +100 | +115 |
Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s game with 60.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.20 Units / 160% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.60 Units / 160% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last game (+1.40 Units / 140% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+1.30 Units / 130% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Under in his last game (+1.30 Units / 130% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.24 Units / 124% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 70.42% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.02 Units / 102% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.22 Units / -100% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.48 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.02 Units / 102% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.22 Units / -100% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (19/80) against Logan Allen on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Allen threw his changeup 17% of the time (91/538) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 55% (85/156) against Logan Allen on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 64% (48/75) against Logan Allen’s changeup in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 93rd Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling had a strikeout rate of just 7% (7/94) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Ross Stripling has not allowed a walk in any of his last five starts — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents batted .306 against Ross Stripling on low changeups last season — seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– eighth Percentile. Opponents batted just .130 (14-for-108) against him on low changeups last season — fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 93rd Percentile.
Ross Stripling allowed three-ball counts to 14% of batters they faced (52/381 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 11-61 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics were just 26-55 (.321) at home in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 102 times in 772 PA’s (13%) in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,910 PA’s (18%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Athletics batted just .118 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.4 MPH (4,140 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,682 times in the 2023 season — 5th most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after scoring a run on offense since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after scoring a run on offense in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
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