- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Mariners TV Channel: BSGL | RTNW | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Guardians are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 1-5 ATS.
Guardians vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 1-0, 5.41 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 -115 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -105 | -160 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 39.31% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 21.48% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 43.61% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -53.03% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 1-5 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -60.15% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -10.26% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -18.66% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 13.08% ROI
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Naylor | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Laureano | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Gimenez | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Freeman | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brennan | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Allen | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Kirby | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has not walked any of the 21 batters that he has faced this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (14 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — fifth Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.228 (17 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .700 — sixth Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .700 (14 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .364 — third Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (2,069/2,924) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby had a strike rate of 71% (2,002/2,825) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 21 of 781 batters (3%) since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio was 9.1 (172/19) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 34-115 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners are 84-13 (.866) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 10-129 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are 148-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 127-23 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,307 strikeouts in 12,504 PA’s (18%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .659 (3,556 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .371 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have a swing rate of just 51% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 59%.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 100 of 1,510 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 434 of 6,232 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 13 of 226 batters (6%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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