- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Rockies
- Guardians vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Guardians / Rockies TV Channel: BSGL | ROTV
The Cleveland Guardians (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Guardians are 36-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 29-24 ATS.
Guardians vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 2-3, 3.42 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-4, 5.08 ERA
Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +105 | O 10.5 -110 | -145 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | U 10.5 -110 | +120 |
Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 32 games (+31.20 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+9.40 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games (+27.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+14.25 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+15.47 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 55% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 31-23 against the Run Line (+12.2 Units / 18.67% ROI).
- 36-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.47 Units / 22.2% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.92% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -9.25% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 29-24 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.77% ROI).
- 19-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.52% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -7.95% ROI
Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brayan Rocchio (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Triston McKenzie (CLE) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Ryan Feltner (COL) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has walked 16 of 101 right-handed batters (16%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 14 of 90 batters (16%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 31 of 223 batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has a strike rate of just 57% (106/186) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .327 (36-for-110) against Ryan Feltner’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — second Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of .932 (90 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .663 — sixth Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has walked 2 of 90 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Guardians are 25-136 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Guardians are 36-129 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are just 12-17 (.414) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 20-72 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rockies are just 43-29 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 75-63 (.543) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Rockies are just 55-26 (.679) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 55-32 (.632) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,865 strikeouts in 10,221 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 6 of 221 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Guardians pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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