- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Phillies
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+100) on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Mariners vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 11-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 9-15 ATS.
Mariners vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Mariners vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+13.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.05 Units / 84% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Phillies vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Phillies vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Phillies vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Taijuan Walker | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 10-13 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -13.44% ROI).
- 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -12.63% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 3.72% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -12.72% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 9-15 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -33.23% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -16.62% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -12.26% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 4.17% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .059 (51 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .178 (78 Total Bases / 437 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .121 (53-for-437) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .158 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Logan Gilbert’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 54% (294/545) on sliders since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Taijuan Walker’s pitches in the zone (92/164) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 19% (17/90) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (25/37) against Taijuan Walker in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mariners are 78-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Mariners are 34-13 (.723) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Phillies are just 0-5 (.000) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Phillies are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Phillies are just 8-2 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .878.
The Phillies are 7-1 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .269 (219 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Mariners hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Mariners hitters have drawn 207 walks in 2,000 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .324 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Phillies hitters are slugging .535 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Phillies are batting .294 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .348 against Mariners pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 24 of 404 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 9 double plays in 164 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 204 of 3,065 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Andrew Bellatti (Phillies): Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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