- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: RTNW | YES
The Seattle Mariners (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-140) on Monday, May 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Mariners are 25-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 27-21 ATS.
Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 3-2, 3.11 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 3-2, 3.35 ERA
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -140 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+11.70 Units / 106% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+14.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.50 Units / 338% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+12.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.99 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 23-24 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -6.74% ROI).
- 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.34% ROI
- 16-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -28.83% ROI
- 28-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 19.16% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 27-21 against the Run Line (+8.95 Units / 15.3% ROI).
- 33-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 16.76% ROI
- 19-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -20.08% ROI
- 27-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.1 Units / 11.5% ROI
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jon Berti (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 7 double plays in 24 opportunities (29%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .243 (367 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (5-for-32) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (72/194) against Logan Gilbert this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 56% (144/257) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 51% (154/304) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (79/142) against Marcus Stroman this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (167/274) against Marcus Stroman since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 159-6 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 48-6 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 53-9 (.855) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 91-5 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 23-18 (.561) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 54-52 (.509) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Yankees are 90-27 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 125-32 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters have 479 strikeouts in 1,709 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mariners have scored first in 100% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .528 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,333 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Yankees hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .455 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .233 (416 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Mariners pitchers have walked 537 of 7,687 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 984 of 13,673 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 116 of 1,681 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.77 (429.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
The Yankees have won 62% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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