Mets vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

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Los Angeles Angels left fielder Taylor Ward (3) singles during the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Houston Astros, Friday, July 14, 2023, in Anaheim, Calif.
(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 02, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Angels
  • Mets vs Angels Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mets / Angels TV Channel: SNY | BSW

The New York Mets (-145) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+120) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Mets are 57-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 61-48 ATS.

Mets vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn 4-2, 4.44 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 8-9, 3.01 ERA

Mets vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +125O 9 +100-145
Angels +1.5 -150U 9 -120+120

Mets vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+31.50 Units / 394% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 15 games (+15.40 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 47 games (+20.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+16.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 50 games (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 99 games (+13.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 60 games (+8.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 53-55 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -2.4% ROI).

  • 57-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.74% ROI
  • 57-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 5.26% ROI
  • 46-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -13.77% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 61-48 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -1.36% ROI).

  • 47-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -5% ROI
  • 54-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.7% ROI
  • 51-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -6.7% ROI

Angels vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500

Angels vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Iglesias (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Luis Rengifo (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Angels vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Angels vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Blackburn (NYM) 3.5 -155 3.5 +120
Tyler Anderson (LAA) 4.5 -135 4.5 +105

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (60/175) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (38/107) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has an ERA of 6.48 (83.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: 4.01 — second Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (41/175) against Paul Blackburn on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Anderson has walked 46 of 431 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (553/1,868) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (172/532) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (30-for-172) against Tyler Anderson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 92nd Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Mets are just 41-11 (.788) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Mets are just 45-6 (.882) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Mets are 7-35 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Mets are 27-22 (.551) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Angels are just 25-113 (.181) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Angels are just 85-55 (.607) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Angels are just 9-15 (.375) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Angels are just 19-25 (.432) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .326 (11,454 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Mets are batting .267 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .747 (8,227 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (16,355 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Angels have scored first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (1,245 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Angels have won just 48% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .633 (1,245 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Mets pitchers have walked 411 of 4,143 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 89 of 971 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets pitchers have walked 229 of 2,383 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have walked 245 of 2,403 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 95 of 969 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 367 of 3,843 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
  • Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
  • Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.