MLB Betting Promos & Picks Today

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MLB Betting Promos Today: April 9

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MLB Picks Today: April 9

  • Blue Jays vs. Red Sox F5 Over 4 (-110)
  • Twins vs. Royals (-110)

MLB Over/Under Picks Today

My favorite over/under pick today is over four runs (-110) in the first five innings of Wednesdayโ€™s matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

I like the full-game over, too, but the F5 total offers the more significant edge. I project over five runs for these two teams in the first five innings, as both starters have underwhelmed to begin the season.

Boston right-hander Tanner Houck has allowed seven earned runs through two starts with his Location+ down from 103 to 98. Toronto righty Kevin Gausman has allowed multiple runs in his first two starts while posting a 9.8% strikeout rate (well below his career mark of 24.8%).

Even in what is expected to be another cold game in Boston, I anticipate enough offense on Wednesday.

MLB Moneyline Picks Today

As my favorite MLB moneyline pick today, I like the price on the Minnesota Twins (-110) against the Kansas City Royals for Wednesdayโ€™s matchup at Kauffman Stadium.

Seth Lugo bounced back in his second start, holding the Baltimore Orioles to one earned run across six innings. But I still believe there will be opportunities to fade him early in the season after last yearโ€™s runner-up finish in the Cy Young race. Lugo has a Location+ of 83 through two starts.

The Royals scratched away two runs to beat the Twins on Tuesday, but their offense ranks 21st in wRC+ early in the year after being 20th last season. Ballpark Palโ€™s model projects a 57.8% chance of victory for Minnesota, suggesting value in these odds.

MLB Best Bets Today: April 9

GamePickOdds
Blue Jays vs. Red SoxF5 Over 4-110
Royals vs. TwinsTwins ML-110

MLB Moneyline Records for 2025

TeamRecordWin Pct.
Padres13-3.813
Giants11-4.733
Mets10-5.667
Dodgers11-6.647
Cubs11-7.611
Tigers9-6.600
Angels9-6.600
Phillies9-6.600
Diamondbacks9-7.563
Rangers9-7.563
Blue Jays9-7.563
Guardians8-7.533
Marlins8-7.533
Yankees8-7.533
Reds8-8.500
Royals8-8.500
Brewers8-8.500
Mariners8-8.500
Red Sox8-9.471
Astros7-8.467
Cardinals7-8.467
Rays7-8.467
Orioles6-9.400
Nationals6-9.400
Athletics6-10.375
Twins5-11.313
Pirates5-11.313
Braves4-11.267
White Sox4-11.267
Rockies3-12.200

MLB Run Line (ATS) Records for 2025

TeamATS RecordATS Win Pct.
Blue Jays13-3.813
Padres11-5.688
Tigers10-5.667
Giants10-5.667
Reds10-6.625
Cubs11-7.611
White Sox9-6.600
Phillies9-6.600
Athletics9-7.563
Angels8-7.533
Marlins8-7.533
Cardinals8-7.533
Nationals8-7.533
Mariners8-8.500
Red Sox8-9.471
Dodgers8-9.471
Guardians7-8.467
Astros7-8.467
Mets7-8.467
Yankees7-8.467
Diamondbacks7-9.438
Twins7-9.438
Braves6-9.400
Orioles6-9.400
Royals6-10.375
Brewers6-10.375
Rangers6-10.375
Rays5-10.333
Pirates5-11.313
Rockies4-11.267

MLB Over/Under Records for 2025

TeamOver RecordOver Pct.Under Pct.
Yankees10-4-1.714.286
Cubs12-5-1.706.294
Angels10-5-0.667.333
Giants10-5-0.667.333
Nationals10-5-0.667.333
Orioles9-5-1.643.357
Cardinals9-5-1.643.357
Marlins9-6-0.600.400
Dodgers10-7-0.588.412
Athletics8-6-2.571.429
Tigers7-7-1.500.500
Guardians7-8-0.467.533
Pirates7-8-1.467.533
Padres7-8-1.467.533
Diamondbacks6-7-3.462.539
Braves6-7-2.462.539
Astros6-7-2.462.539
Royals7-9-0.438.563
Rangers7-9-0.438.563
White Sox6-8-1.429.571
Twins6-8-2.429.571
Mariners6-8-2.429.571
Rays6-8-1.429.571
Reds6-9-1.400.600
Brewers6-9-1.400.600
Rockies5-9-1.357.643
Red Sox5-10-2.333.667
Blue Jays5-10-1.333.667
Mets4-11-0.267.733
Phillies4-11-0.267.733

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.