- The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
- Orioles vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Athletics TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCA
The Baltimore Orioles (-185) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+150) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Orioles are 56-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 46-45 ATS.
Orioles vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 10-3, 3.47 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 5-4, 4.20 ERA
Orioles vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -110 | -185 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -110 | U 8 -110 | +150 |
Orioles vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+26.40 Units / 264% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+16.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 74 games (+15.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.10 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 49-40 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 16.35% ROI).
- 56-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 8.79% ROI
- 45-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 9.55% ROI
- 33-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.75 Units / -17.21% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 46-45 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -7.43% ROI).
- 34-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -10.75% ROI
- 39-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.15 Units / -15.21% ROI
- 49-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 5.32% ROI
Athletics vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Athletics vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Athletics vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Athletics vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Mitch Spence (OAK) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a .482 SLG vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– fifth Percentile and just .287 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez allowed a batting average of .276 vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .192 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (81/210) against Grayson Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (39/127) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (46/92) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Mitch Spence has thrown breaking pitches 65% of the time (219/335) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .371 (23-for-62) against Mitch Spence with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 67% of Mitch Spence’s pitches (223/335) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Orioles are 51-29 (.638) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Orioles are 154-75 (.672) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Orioles are 48-61 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Athletics are just 45-80 (.360) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Athletics are just 77-131 (.370) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.61 (234.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Orioles pitchers have walked 248 of 3,696 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (1056.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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