- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Orioles vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | MASN
The Baltimore Orioles (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Orioles are 23-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 22-13 ATS.
Orioles vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 0-0, 1.93 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 2-1, 2.53 ERA
Orioles vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -120 | -175 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 9 +100 | +145 |
Orioles vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 29 games (+19.10 Units / 66% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+15.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 away games (+11.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+24.50 Units / 188% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+15.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+14.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 130 games (+25.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 61 away games (+17.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 41 away games (+16.97 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+14.56 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 20-15 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 20% ROI).
- 23-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 7.72% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.82% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -9.59% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 22-13 against the Run Line (+7.58 Units / 16.69% ROI).
- 18-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 30.24% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -12.29% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.38 Units / 3.56% ROI
Nationals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Nationals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Mateo (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish (BAL) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 27 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 20th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 10.
Kyle Bradish has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (693/1,199) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .153 (9-for-59) against Kyle Bradish in late innings since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.1 innings he’s appeared — Ian Hamilton has the longest active streak at 50.0.
Mitchell Parker has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike 76% (78/103) of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 99th Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 69% (220/319) this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/49) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Orioles are 42-23 (.646) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Orioles are 155-11 (.934) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals are just 53-89 (.373) after a win since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Nationals are just 23-41 (.359) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 30-48 (.385) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Nationals are just 35-52 (.402) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have grounded into 9 double plays in 227 opportunities (4%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Orioles are 44-21 (.677) against the run line (30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Orioles are 65-32 (.670) against the run line (28.8% ROI) on the road since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Orioles hitters are slugging .433 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .094 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .924 (1,401 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.091.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Orioles pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .354 (3,153 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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