- The Orioles are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: FOX
The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+130) on Saturday, August 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 69-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 58-57 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 12-4, 2.63 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -115 | -155 |
| Rays | +1.5 -130 | U 7.5 -105 | +130 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 48 games (+30.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 23 games (+20.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+13.05 Units / 130% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 43 games (+23.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+17.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 108 games (+15.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 102 games (+11.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 69 of their last 112 games (+22.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 106 games (+13.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 62-55 against the Run Line (+14.9 Units / 11% ROI).
- 69-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 2% ROI
- 65-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.45 Units / 16.12% ROI
- 41-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.9 Units / -24.07% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 58-57 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -2.29% ROI).
- 58-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -6.33% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -9.06% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 0.87% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 2.5 +145 | 2.5 -190 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 31 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .282 (67 Total Bases / 238 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 73% of the time (127/174) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (112/188) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has pitched 14.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Carlos Estevez has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 14.2 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (6/11) against Drew Rasmussen this month (1 games) — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a runner to reach base (6 PA’s) this month (1 games) — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 54-33 (.621) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 56-4 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rays are 46-87 (.346) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Rays are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rays are just 23-46 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,413 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Orioles hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are 57-30 (.655) against the run line (27.6% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters are slugging .437 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Rays hitters have 260 strikeouts in 1,050 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have walked 268 of 3,942 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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