- The Phillies (0-0) are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals (0-0)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (-), – ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: José Quintana (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on ABC
The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Friday, October 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:07pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 87-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 87-75 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +165 | O 6.5 +100 | -110 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -200 | U 6.5 -120 | -110 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 58 away games (+20.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 56 away games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 62 away games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jean Segura has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 away games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+14.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
| Jose Quintana | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 65 games at home (+15.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games at home (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 82-80 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -0.96% ROI).
- 87-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -1.31% ROI
- 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -0.75% ROI
- 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -7.37% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 87-75 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 2.84% ROI).
- 93-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 2.63% ROI
- 76-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 80-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -1.74% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (189 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (172 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 87.9
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.3 MPH on inside pitches since the start of 2020 (562 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 85.3
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 72.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (235 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
José Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (232/411) of right-handed hitters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 50% (359/712) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has not allowed a home run in any of the last 62.0 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 59% (292/491) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Phillies are 72-25 (.742) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .260 at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Phillies hitters are slugging .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Phillies hitters are slugging .238 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .510 (147 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .660.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (7,872 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,856 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
- Mark Appel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
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