Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 7

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Phillies (0-0) are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals (0-0)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (-), ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: José Quintana (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Friday, October 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:07pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 87-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 87-75 ATS.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +165O 6.5 +100-110
Cardinals +1.5 -200U 6.5 -120-110

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 58 away games (+20.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 56 away games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 62 away games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jean Segura has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 away games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+14.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Bryce Harper 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Bryson Stott 0.5 +1100 0.5
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jean Segura 0.5 +1000 0.5

Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Bryce Harper 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Bryson Stott 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Jean Segura 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Bryce Harper 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Bryson Stott 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jean Segura 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Wheeler 4.5 -115 4.5 -120
Jose Quintana 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 65 games at home (+15.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games at home (+12.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+5.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 82-80 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -0.96% ROI).

  • 87-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -1.31% ROI
  • 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -0.75% ROI
  • 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -7.37% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 87-75 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 2.84% ROI).

  • 93-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 2.63% ROI
  • 76-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -6.94% ROI
  • 80-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -1.74% ROI

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (189 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (172 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 87.9

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.3 MPH on inside pitches since the start of 2020 (562 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 85.3

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 72.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (235 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

José Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (232/411) of right-handed hitters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — fourth Percentile.

Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 50% (359/712) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has not allowed a home run in any of the last 62.0 innings he’s appeared — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Jose Quintana has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 59% (292/491) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Phillies are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Phillies are 72-25 (.742) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 15-9 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Phillies are batting .260 at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Phillies hitters are slugging .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

Phillies hitters are slugging .238 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .510 (147 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .660.

Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH since the start of last season (7,872 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Phillies pitchers have walked 186 of 2,856 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Mark Appel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.