- The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Rays vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | BSUN | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Thursday, July 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Rays are 51-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 46-55 ATS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 5-4, 2.62 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 8-8, 3.71 ERA
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -110 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 31 games (+19.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 26 games (+34.15 Units / 131% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+10.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+9.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 63 of their last 99 games (+24.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+11.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 49-53 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -6.03% ROI).
- 51-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -7.09% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -5.17% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -3.21% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 46-55 against the Run Line (-20.1 Units / -14.55% ROI).
- 46-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -12.76% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 1.08% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -10.26% ROI
Blue Jays vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Richard Palacios (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Taj Bradley over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Taj Bradley in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has struck out 32% (128/396) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of just .229 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .697 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (26/207) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (19/142) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .367 (22-for-60) against Chris Bassitt on low fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .261 — seventh Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 52-4 (.929) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rays are just 14-29 (.326) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Rays are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 31-26 (.544) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are just 8-49 (.140) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Blue Jays are just 15-66 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Blue Jays are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .265 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .198 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays hitters have just 663 strikeouts in 3,432 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Blue Jays are batting .381 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,112 of 15,791 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
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