- The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN1 | NESN
The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+100) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Red Sox are 17-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 17-12 ATS.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-1, 4.24 ERA
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -120 | -120 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -160 | U 9.5 +100 | +100 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+14.50 Units / 181% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 81% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.85 Units / 126% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.17 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 16-15 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 5.19% ROI).
- 17-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -6.31% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -3.67% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -3.81% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 17-12 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 4.95% ROI).
- 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -6.98% ROI
- 11-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -26.3% ROI
- 18-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.92 Units / 18.23% ROI
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Giolito (Bos) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .729 (229 Total Bases / 314 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .570 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (21/133) against Lucas Giolito when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (152 Total Bases / 257 ABs) versus the top of the order since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .435 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 18% (35/197) against Lucas Giolito in 2023 — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 56% of the time (762/1,351) when behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (415/726) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (47/274) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios located 59% of his pitches away (352/599) when ahead in the count in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 5-69 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.
The Red Sox are just 40-151 (.209) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Red Sox are 58-11 (.841) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are just 23-90 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays are just 6-9 (.400) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Blue Jays are just 27-50 (.351) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .379 in hitter’s counts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 26% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .181 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .468 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.
The Blue Jays are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have 309 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 4th most in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
