- The Tigers are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rockies / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | ROTV | MLBN
The Colorado Rockies (+225) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-275) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Rockies are 54-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 78-68 ATS.
Rockies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 2-10, 4.95 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 16-4, 2.55 ERA
Rockies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -120 | +225 |
| Tigers | -1.5 -125 | U 7.5 +100 | -275 |
Rockies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 70.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 35 games (+15.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.20 Units / 324% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+16.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 110 games (+6.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 59 games (+20.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 61 games (+16.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games (+5.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 71-75 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -9.56% ROI).
- 54-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -5.74% ROI
- 70-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 73-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -2.47% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 78-68 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 1.66% ROI).
- 75-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 1.94% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 1.08% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -9.7% ROI
Tigers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Tigers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -125 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner since last season is 419.8 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 422.1 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 397.7
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 10% (54/542) against Ryan Feltner since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 16% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% (15/44) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .159 (584 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .152 (23 Total Bases / 151 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .326 (398 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .489 — 100th Percentile.
43% of Tarik Skubal’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rockies are just 96-14 (.865) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Rockies are just 6-10 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Rockies are just 85-21 (.794) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rockies are just 29-27 (.518) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Tigers are 36-4 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 11-51 (.177) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are just 54-11 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Tigers are 59-24 (.711) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .240 (242 PA’s) against RHP this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have won just 48% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (17,389 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,297 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,297 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 22 of 439 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7 of 220 batters (3%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 343 of 4,178 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 853 of 11,464 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
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