- The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Mets TV Channel: SNY | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Tigers are 4-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 0-4 ATS.
Tigers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -125 | +110 |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 +105 | -130 |
Tigers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 71% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 away games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.25 Units / 88% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 1-3 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -41.67% ROI).
- 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 80% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-4 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -50% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 41.3% ROI
Mets vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Greene | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Keith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| McKinstry | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Vierling | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Urshela | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 -2500 |
Mets vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mize | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Houser | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has not allowed a walk in his last 68 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 24th, 2021 — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 99.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (10/77) versus Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (401/544) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 73% of the time (720/980) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 74% of the time (401/544) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 37-49 (.430) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Tigers are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mets were just 11-60 (.155) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Mets are 151-9 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (9,145 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (9,145 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .364 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .453 (110 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .331 (31 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.069.
Mets hitters have put 50% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .218 (110 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .071 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (492.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .442 against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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