- The Rays are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 0-0 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -120 | +145 |
| Rays | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 +100 | -175 |
Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wander Franco | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eflin | 4.5 -200 | 4.5 +150 |
| Spencer Turnbull | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 163 games (+17.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 82 games at home (+9.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+6.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to May 13rd, 2021 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .357 (35 GB hits out of 98 GBs) against Zach Eflin with the shift since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .219 — 0 Percentile.
Zach Eflin allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.3 MPH (231 batted balls) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 88.6 — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has located his fastballs down 47% of the time (725/1,542) since the 2021 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 17 of 364 left-handed batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers were just 5-24 (.172) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Tigers were just 32-88 (.267) when scoring 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Tigers were just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 121-163 (.426) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are 77-22 (.778) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The Rays are 35-55 (.389) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Rays are 64-8 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Rays are 10-105 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .290 (2,893 PA’s) at home in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Tigers hitters have 533 strikeouts in 1,844 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (8%) since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters struck out just 29 times in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters put 39% of their swings in play against LHP in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays hitters have 1,029 strikeouts in 4,225 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2020 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,433 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 168 of 2,905 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Nevin (Tigers): Oblique, D10
Bet now on Tigers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
