- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: FS1 | MASN | YES
The New York Yankees (+120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-140) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 57-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 50-44 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-5, 3.27 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 11-3, 3.53 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -120 | -140 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+15.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.69 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 85 games (+13.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 47 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 51-45 against the Run Line (+11.6 Units / 10.24% ROI).
- 57-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 49-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 1.28% ROI
- 43-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -10.28% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 50-44 against the Run Line (+13.3 Units / 12.28% ROI).
- 57-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 4.61% ROI
- 47-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 7.76% ROI
- 36-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.95 Units / -15.51% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .168 (57-for-339) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .149 (27-for-181) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 48 of 395 batters (12%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has a strike rate of just 60% (538/895) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (95/274) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (18/48) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (44/137) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .572 (193 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .702 — 94th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 11-13 (.458) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Yankees are 137-99 (.581) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 56-44 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 32-23 (.582) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Orioles are 27-17 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 15-8 (.652) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 114 walks in 986 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 378 walks in 3,652 PA’s (10%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .218 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,209 of their 9,625 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .801 (1,121 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Orioles hitters are slugging .453 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Orioles hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Orioles hitters have 126 extra-base hits out of 305 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 159 of 2,304 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 251 of 3,741 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Yankees vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
