Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Prediction, Odds, Bets For Game 5

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DALLAS, TEXAS - MAY 28: Anthony Edwards #5 of the Minnesota Timberwolves is defended by Luka Doncic #77 of the Dallas Mavericks during the third quarter in Game Four of the Western Conference Finals at American Airlines Center on May 28, 2024 in Dallas, Texas.
(Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy May 29, 2024, 1:31 PM
  • Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5 will be played on Thursday.
  • The Timberwolves are a 4.5-point favorite for Game 5.
  • The Mavericks are -550 favorites to win the series.

Boston begins the Eastern Conference finals as a giant -900 favorite to eliminate Indiana and advance to the NBA Finals. That series is already over, at least according to the NBA odds market.

In the West, a far more compelling series is on tap for NBA playoff fans. Which team will earn the right to play Boston for a championship?

Will Luka Dončić play for his first championship? Or can Anthony Edwards bring the Timberwolves one step closer to removing their franchise name from the list of NBA teams that have never won a championship?

Let’s find out. 

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Game 5 Odds

  • Minnesota -200
  • Dallas +165
  • Game 5 Spread: Timberwolves -4.5
  • Game 5 Over/Under: 209.5
  • Series Odds: Mavericks -550; Timberwolves +425

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Game 5 Prediction

I am predicting a Mavericks +4.5 cover in Game 5 of the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves series.

This series has been closely contested in every fourth quarter thus far, which makes 4.5 points awfully valuable.

Minnesota is at home and is still facing elimination, so the point spread swings toward the Timberwolves. Yet Dallas had no problem winning outright in MSP in Game 1 and Game 2. Minnesota is 1-4 outright in its last five home playoff games.

Perhaps the Timberwolves can push this series to a Game 6, but Dallas’ closing ability and the tight nature of the series certainly make a healthy 4.5-point playoff spread compelling. I’ll take the points with the Mavericks and sprinkle some additional money on the +165 moneyline.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: Betting Stats

  • Minnesota Timberwolves 2023-24 ATS Record: 49-46-2
  • Minnesota Timberwolves 2024 Playoff ATS Record: 9-6
  • Dallas Mavericks 2023-24 ATS Record: 58-40
  • Dallas Mavericks 2024 Playoff ATS Record: 10-6
  • Minnesota Timberwolves 2023-24 Over/Under Record: 50-46-1
  • Minnesota Timberwolves 2024 Playoff Over/Under Record: 9-6
  • Dallas Mavericks 2023-24 Over/Under Record: 44-53-1
  • Dallas Mavericks 2024 Playoff Over/Under Record: 8-8

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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.