NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams: Updated Cutline For 2025

St. John's forward Zuby Ejiofor, center, rebounds a ball against DePaul guard CJ Gunn, left, and forward Theo Pierre-Justin during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in Chicago, Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2025.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)

As the college basketball calendar pushes into late February and early March, nothing in sports gets more attention than the NCAA Tournament bubble.

Teams on the right side of the bubble? Theyโ€™ll make the tournament and have a chance to shock the world.

For others, their tournament bubble will burst. Theyโ€™ll have to start the long college hoops offseason grind.ย 

Of course, all of these bubble teams could play themselves off the bubble by winning their conference tournament in March. Otherwise theyโ€™ll be sweating it out with the rest of the bubble gang on Selection Sunday.

Hereโ€™s an updated look at the menโ€™s NCAA Tournament bubble, as of Feb. 20.

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams

Current StatusTeamKenPom Rating
Last Four ByesBYU31
Last Four ByesTexas35
Last Four ByesWest Virginia46
Last Four ByesVanderbilt47
Last Four InArkansas37
Last Four InSan Diego State41
Last Four InOklahoma50
Last Four InWake Forest 61
First Four OutVCU32
First Four OutSMU38
First Four OutGeorgia44
First Four OutNorth Carolina45
Next Four OutXavier51
Next Four OutIndiana54
Next Four OutKansas State60
Next Four OutUC Irvine67

Last Four Byes

  • Texas
  • West Virginia
  • BYU
  • Vanderbilt

Last Four In

  • San Diego State
  • Oklahoma
  • Arkansas
  • Wake Forest

First Four Out

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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.