As the college basketball calendar pushes into late February and early March, nothing in sports gets more attention than the NCAA Tournament bubble.
Teams on the right side of the bubble? They’ll make the tournament and have a chance to shock the world.
For others, their tournament bubble will burst. They’ll have to start the long college hoops offseason grind.
Of course, all of these bubble teams could play themselves off the bubble by winning their conference tournament in March. Otherwise they’ll be sweating it out with the rest of the bubble gang on Selection Sunday.
I have collated the list below by looking at multiple NCAA bubble projections, including Joe Lunardi’s at ESPN and Jerry Palm’s at CBS. I then split the teams into buckets and organized them according to their KenPom rating.
Here’s an updated look at the men’s NCAA Tournament bubble, as of March 13.
NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams
| Current Status | Team | KenPom Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Last Four Byes | Oklahoma | 38 |
| Last Four Byes | Arkansas | 40 |
| Last Four Byes | Vanderbilt | 47 |
| Last Four Byes | West Virginia | 54 |
| Last Four In | North Carolina | 35 |
| Last Four In | Xavier | 42 |
| Last Four In | San Diego State | 43 |
| Last Four In | Indiana | 45 |
| First Four Out | Texas | 44 |
| First Four Out | Boise State | 50 |
| First Four Out | Wake Forest | 71 |
| First Four Out | Dayton | 72 |
| Next Four Out | Ohio State | 37 |
| Next Four Out | Colorado State | 51 |
| Next Four Out | Villanova | 53 |
| Next Four Out | UC Irvine | 66 |
Last Four Byes
Last Four In
First Four Out
Next Four Out
- Ohio State
- Colorado State
- Villanova
- UC Irvine
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