- The Cardinals are -1 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Chicago Bears (4-3-0) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (4-4-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Bears vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | +1 -110 | 44.5 -110 | +100 |
| Cardinals | -1 -110 | 44.5 -110 | -120 |
Bears vs. Cardinals Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 50.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bears vs Cardinals Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Chris Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Bears
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| James Conner (Ari) | +475 |
| D'Andre Swift (CHI) | +600 |
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | +600 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Bears
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| James Conner (Ari) | -125 |
| D'Andre Swift (CHI) | +100 |
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | +100 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cardinals vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rome Odunze (CHI) | 34.5 -110 | 34.5 -120 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -120 |
| Cole Kmet (CHI) | 30.5 -110 | 30.5 -120 |
| Keenan Allen (CHI) | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -120 |
| D.J. Moore (CHI) | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cardinals vs Bears
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | 64.5 -110 | 64.5 -120 |
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.45 Units / 53% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets:
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have scored last in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears art 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 23.23% ROI).
- Bears are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 10.71% ROI
- Bears are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Bears are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals are 5-3 (+1.6 Units / 17.78% ROI).
- Cardinals are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 22.03% ROI
- Cardinals are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
- Cardinals are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals
The Bears were winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Bears were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.
The Bears were 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Bears were 1-7 (.125) when losing at least one fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Cardinals were 1-12 (.077) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals have averaged 0.31 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 0.46 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
The Cardinals ran successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — T-4th-best in NFL. The Bears allowed successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — T-worst in NFL.
Cardinals TEs have averaged just 4.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed just 3.8 yards after catch per reception to TEs since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Bears have rushed the ball on 46.2% of plays from scrimmage since the 2023 season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed 4.8 yards per carry since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Bears have averaged just -0.46 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed just -0.50 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Bears RBs have gained 254 yards on 27 receptions (9.4 YPR) this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed 8.8 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged 0.72 epa per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
The Bears have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Bears have averaged -0.50 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats
The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Cardinals have converted first downs on just 3 of 31 plays (10%) on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Cardinals have a third down conversion rate of 0% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Cardinals have rushed for 20+ yards 33 times since the 2023 season — 2nd-most in NFL.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed -0.17 epa per play with a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bears defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (6 completions/24 attempts) in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 56%.
The Bears defense allowed 58.8 receiving yards per game (1,000/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32.4.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 31% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats
The Cardinals defense has allowed first downs on 49% of plays on 3rd down since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Cardinals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 44% on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Cardinals defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with a stacked front (0 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 115.0.
The Cardinals defense has allowed successful plays on 56% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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