- The Bengals are -3.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 48 points
- Watch this game on NBC
The Cincinnati Bengals (1-4-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (2-3-0) on Oct. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Bengals vs. Giants Over/Under is 48 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | -3.5 -105 | 48 -110 | -185 |
| Giants | +3.5 -115 | 48 -110 | +150 |
Bengals vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 69.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Bengals vs Giants Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
- Mike Gesicki has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Giants vs Bengals
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tee Higgins (CIN) | 52.5 -130 | 52.5 +100 |
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | 75.5 -115 | 75.5 -120 |
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+4.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals art 2-3 (-1.15 Units / -21.5% ROI).
- Bengals are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -71.49% ROI
- Bengals are 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
- Bengals are 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Giants are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 37.25% ROI
- Giants are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Giants are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Bengals were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.
The Bengals were 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Bengals are 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .561.
The Bengals were 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .622.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Giants are 1-3 (.250) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .465.
The Giants were 2-10 (.167) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Giants are 6-11 (.353) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .474.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Giants
The Giants ran successful plays on 54.8% of pass attempts against a base front last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts with a base front last week — worst in NFL.
The Giants have a third down conversion rate of 52.8% in the first half this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Bengals defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 51.7% in the first half this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Giants WRs have 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-2nd-most in NFL. The Bengals have allowed 7 receiving touchdowns when defending in the red zone this season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The Bengals have run successful plays on 53.5% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on 51.1% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Bengals have run successful plays on 53.8% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on 50.3% of pass attempts this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Bengals have run successful plays on 52.8% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed successful plays on 54.5% of pass attempts with a base front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
The Bengals threw the ball 36% of the time (10 Pass Attempts/28 plays) in close and late situations last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Bengals have averaged -0.77 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.50.
The Bengals have run 6% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Giants QBs were sacked 85 times last season — most in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense has allowed 10 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 56% of plays on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of rush attempts with a base front this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 50% of plays on motion plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense sacked opponents 7 times in Week 5 — T-most in NFL.
The Giants defense has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (7 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Giants defense blitzed on 25% of plays last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Giants defense has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (22/179) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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