Bengals vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 4

Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young passes against the New Orleans Saints during the first half of an NFL football game Monday, Sept. 18, 2023, in Charlotte, N.C.
(Rusty Jones/AP Photo)
  • The Bengals are -4 point favorites vs the Panthers
  • Total (Over/Under): 47 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Cincinnati Bengals (0-3-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (1-2-0) on Sep. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Charlotte, NC.

The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Bengals vs. Panthers Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Bengals vs. Panthers Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bengals-4.5 -11047.5 -110-225
Panthers +4.5 -11047.5 -110+180

Bengals vs. Panthers Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 60.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Bengals vs Panthers Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today

  • Mike Gesicki has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Zack Moss has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jake Browning has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mike Gesicki has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+12.60 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Adam Thielen has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Bengals

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Zack Moss (CIN) +550
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) +600
Chuba Hubbard (Car) +700

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Panthers vs Bengals

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Chuba Hubbard (Car) -115
Zack Moss (CIN) -110
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (Cin) -105

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Panthers vs Bengals

Player Name Over Under
Tee Higgins (CIN) 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
Jaโ€™Marr Chase (CIN) 76.5 -115 76.5 -115
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have scored first in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.45 Units / 41% ROI)

Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals art 1-2 (-1.1 Units / -34.38% ROI).

  • Bengals are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -100% ROI
  • Bengals are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Bengals are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Panthers are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 3.33% ROI
  • Panthers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Panthers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Bengals are undefeated (3-0) after a road win since the 2022 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .541.

The Bengals were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.

The Bengals are 7-1 (.875) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .564.

The Bengals were 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .625.

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals

The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Panthers are winless (0-7) when playing in cold weather since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Panthers are winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .647.

The Panthers were winless (0-7) when playing in cold weather last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Carolina Panthers

The Panthers scored on 58.3% of their drives last week — 5th-best in NFL. The Bengals defense allowed scores on 75% of opponent drives last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Panthers RBs have just 26.0 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bengals have averaged just 26.2 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Panthers have thrown the ball 61.1% of the time in the red zone this season — T-3rd-highest in NFL. The Bengals have allowed a completion rate of 77.8% when defending in the red zone this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have averaged 0.41 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed 0.32 epa per play with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have been successful on 54.2% of plays they have ran against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 53.8% of plays with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Bengals have been successful on 51.4% of plays they have ran against a base front this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Panthers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 51.3% of plays with a base front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats

The Bengals averaged -0.85 epa per play against tight coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.

The Bengals have averaged -0.84 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.53.

The Bengals have run successful plays on 63% of rush attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Bengals scored on 86% of their drives in Week 3 — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats

The Panthers have averaged -0.44 epa per play at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.

The Panthers ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 36% of pass attempts against a base rush since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on motion plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats

The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 24.8 when they pressured the QB (91 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 53.5.

The Bengals defense allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,621 yards / 819 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.

The Bengals defense has forced 4 fumbles this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Bengals defense has allowed 9 TDs on first drive of the game since the 2022 season — T-most in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats

The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (422 carries) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (566 carries) since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Panthers defense has allowed 29 rushing TDs since the 2022 season — most in NFL.

The Panthers defense has averaged 1.6 sacks per game since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.6.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.