- The Bengals are -3 point favorites vs the Broncos
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN
The Denver Broncos (9-6-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (7-8-0) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.
The Bengals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The Broncos vs. Bengals Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Broncos | +3 +100 | 49.5 -110 | +140 |
| Bengals | -3 -120 | 49.5 -110 | -165 |
Broncos vs. Bengals Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bengals will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Broncos vs Bengals Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bengals will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
- Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Javonte Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.05 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Troy Franklin has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Joe Burrow has hit the Carries Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andrei Iosivas has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Carries Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Broncos
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (Cin) | +350 |
| Ja'Marr Chase (Cin) | +500 |
| Tee Higgins (Cin) | +800 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Broncos
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) | 92.5 -115 | 92.5 -115 |
| Courtland Sutton (DEN) | 65.5 -115 | 65.5 -115 |
| Tee Higgins (CIN) | 71.5 -115 | 71.5 -120 |
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos art 11-4 (+6.65 Units / 40.3% ROI).
- Broncos are 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 23.92% ROI
- Broncos are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 21.21% ROI
- Broncos are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals are 9-6 (+2.6 Units / 15.95% ROI).
- Bengals are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -21.28% ROI
- Bengals are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.45 Units / 26.89% ROI
- Bengals are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.47% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Broncos are undefeated (4-0) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .612.
The Broncos were 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Broncos are undefeated (6-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .752.
The Broncos are undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 run defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .667.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Bengals are winless (0-4) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .307.
The Bengals are winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .169.
The Bengals were undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .664.
The Bengals are 2-11 (.154) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have run successful plays on just 31.1% of rush attempts against a stacked front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed successful plays on just 33.3% of rush attempts with a stacked front this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Bengals RBs have 5 receiving touchdowns this season — 5th-most in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to RBs this season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Bengals ran successful plays on 63.0% of pass attempts against a base rush last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed successful plays on 64.0% of pass attempts with a base rush last week — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Broncos have been successful on just 33.1% of plays they have run against a light front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 33.5% of plays with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Broncos went three and out on 30% of their drives last week — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Bengals forced three and outs on 30% of opponent drives last week — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Broncos have run successful plays on just 36.4% of pass attempts against a light front this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bengals have allowed successful plays on just 36.1% of pass attempts with a light front this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos targeted RBs 29% of the time (150 Pass Attempts/513 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Broncos have averaged -1.64 epa per play against tight coverage since Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.52.
The Broncos have targeted TEs 12% of the time (126 Pass Attempts/1,023 plays) since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Broncos faced a blitz just 6% of the time in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals have run successful plays on 47% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Bengals have thrown for 39 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Bengals have converted first downs on 24 of 62 plays (39%) when their QB has scrambled this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
The Bengals have run successful plays on 31% of rush attempts against a stacked front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense have allowed -0.31 epa per play with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of plays with a base rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense did not allow a successful play on any pass attempt in the 1st half in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 45.8 (34 Pass Attempts) in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 91.3.
The Bengals defense allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (6,621 yards / 819 touches) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.2.
The Bengals defense has allowed successful plays on 48% of plays in the 1st half since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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