- The Ravens are -9 point favorites vs the Broncos
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Denver Broncos (5-3-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (5-3-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Broncos vs. Ravens Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Broncos | +9.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +375 |
| Ravens | -9.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -500 |
Broncos vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Broncos vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
- Javonte Williams has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Reynolds has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jaleel McLaughlin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Josh Reynolds has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.70 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Rashod Bateman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Broncos
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | +300 |
| Lamar Jackson (Bal) | +850 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Broncos
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | -250 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Broncos
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (DEN) | 17.5 -120 | 17.5 -110 |
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Zay Flowers (BAL) | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -120 |
| Courtland Sutton (DEN) | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 |
| Mark Andrews (BAL) | 32.5 -120 | 32.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Broncos
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (DEN) | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 89.5 -115 | 89.5 -115 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 45.5 -120 | 45.5 -110 |
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos art 6-2 (+3.85 Units / 43.75% ROI).
- Broncos are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 35.67% ROI
- Broncos are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Broncos are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 4-3 (+0.85 Units / 9.66% ROI).
- Ravens are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -20.22% ROI
- Ravens are 7-1 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
- Ravens are 1-7 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Broncos were 1-7 (.125) when not forcing a fumble last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Broncos are winless (0-4) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .179.
The Broncos are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .555.
The Broncos were 7-2 (.778) when forcing at least one fumble last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
The Ravens are 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .270.
The Ravens were 2-1 (.667) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
Additional Matchup Notes for Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens ran successful plays on 70.0% of pass attempts with motion last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Broncos allowed successful plays on 83.3% of pass attempts against motion last week — worst in NFL.
Ravens TEs have 67.9 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average of57.5 receiving yards per game to TEs since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have thrown the ball just 46.6% of the time this season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Broncos have allowed just 5.3 yards per dropback this season — best in NFL.
The Broncos have averaged just -0.28 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just -0.26 epa per play with a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Broncos are averaging just 1.8 yards per carry on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 2.3 yards per carry when defending on 3rd and short since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best in NFL.
Denver Broncos Offense: Important Stats
The Broncos targeted RBs 29% of the time (150 Pass Attempts/513 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Broncos have run successful plays on 29% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Broncos have run successful plays on 0% of plays against a light rush this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Broncos have targeted RBs 26% of the time (201 Pass Attempts/776 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 35 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 0.24 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Ravens have targeted WRs 19% of the time (7 Pass Attempts/36 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 53% of plays against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Denver Broncos Defense: Important Stats
The Broncos defense allowed a passer rating of 135.6 against play action passes (123 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 101.1.
The Broncos defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of plays with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Broncos defense have allowed 0.07 epa per play open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.38.
The Broncos defense has allowed just 9.0 yards per completion (1,578 yards/175 completions) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense has allowed 39 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 7 of 167 carries (4%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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