- The Broncos are a 2.5-point underdog against the Chargers.
- The Chargers have lost eight straight road games within the division.
- My Broncos vs. Chargers prediction is the game total under points.
Denver faces a second straight home divisional contest as it welcomes the Chargers to Empower Field at Mile High.
The Broncos, who started the season 0-2, are suddenly 3-2 after wins against the Bucs, Jets and Raiders. Last week, Denver delivered a 34-18 thumping to the Raiders.
The Chargers sit at 2-2 and lost consecutive games before their by week. Most recently, Jim Harbaugh’s Chargers fell 17-10 at home to the Chiefs.
Bet on Broncos vs. Chargers and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Week 6 Odds: Broncos vs. Chargers
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | -2.5 (-115) | 35.5 (-110) | -150 |
| Broncos | +2.5 (-105) | 35.5 (-110) | +125 |
Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction
Due to the strength of both defenses, along with the low-scoring nature of last year’s meetings, my Broncos vs. Chargers prediction is the Total Under 35.5 Points (-110).
Perhaps somewhat surprisingly, these teams have raced out to strong defensive starts.
Denver ranks third in both EPA per play and success rate, while the Chargers sit second and fourth in those categories.
In other good news for under bettors, neither offense possesses many strengths.
Denver is 26th in offensive EPA per play and success rate, while the Chargers rank 25th and 30th in those respective categories.
While last season featured Easton Stick at quarterback for Los Angeles in both meetings against Denver, their defense held up.
The Broncos averaged 20 points per game against a significantly worse LA defense, while the Chargers managed only eight points per game.
Accordingly, both games stayed under this number.
This game also fits a historically profitable system.
Since 2022, totals that close south of 41.5 with a home underdog are 63% to the under. When the home team saw their last game go over the total, the system improves to 20-4-1 (83%).
That makes this a great sell-high spot on the Broncos against a rested Chargers defense.
Broncos vs. Chargers: NFL Public Betting Trends
Check back on Friday for Broncos vs. Chargers public betting data and insights.
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