Browns vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:55 AM
  • The Ravens (3-3) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Browns (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Cleveland Browns (2-4) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (3-3) on Oct. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Ravens are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Browns vs. Ravens Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Browns vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 7

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Browns +6.5 -110 45.5 -110 +225
Ravens -6.5 -110 45.5 -110 -275

Browns vs. Ravens Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this Week 7 game with 65.8% confidence.

Browns vs Ravens Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread this Week 7 with 60.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Ravens, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Chester Rogers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jacoby Brissett has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.55 Units / 29% ROI)

 

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

 

  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mark Andrews has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Lamar Jackson has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 83% ROI)

 

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Nick Chubb 7.5 -115 7.5 -115
Kareem Hunt 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Donovan Peoples-Jones 36.5 -110 36.5 -120
David Njoku 36.5 -120 36.5 -110
Amari Cooper 55.5 -115 55.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Browns

Player Name Over Under
Jacoby Brissett 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
Kareem Hunt 35.5 -110 35.5 -120
Nick Chubb 71.5 -120 71.5 -110

 

  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 3Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)

 

 

  • The Baltimore Ravens have scored first in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 34% ROI)

 

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 2-4 (-2.5 Units / -37.31% ROI).

  • Browns are 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -44.92% ROI
  • Browns are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • Browns are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -19.85% ROI).

  • Ravens are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -18.72% ROI
  • Ravens are 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Ravens are 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Browns are 1-3 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .457.

The Browns are 1-6 (.143) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .453.

The Browns are 6-1 (.857) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .544.

The Browns are winless (0-8) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .226.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Ravens are 6-5 (.545) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .756.

The Ravens are 3-1 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.

The Ravens are 3-1 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .565.

The Ravens are 2-6 (.250) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .377.

Additional Matchup Notes for Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have scored on 50% of their drives this season — fourth-best in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed scores on 50% of opponent drives this season — second-worst in NFL.

The Browns have scored on 44.4% of their drives in late and close games this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 73.3% of opponent drives in close and late situations this season — worst in NFL.

Browns TEs have 144 receptions in 23 games (6.3 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 6.0 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Browns are averaging 5.9 yards per carry on rushes up the middle this season — best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 5.0 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Browns have gone three and out on 9% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Browns have gone three and out 5 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Browns have started 8 drives inside their own 10 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Browns have faced a blitz just 8% of the time this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Ravens have targeted WRs 39% of the time (83 Pass Attempts/213 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 46% of the time (98 Pass Attempts/213 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Ravens have targeted TEs 46% of the time (71 Pass Attempts/154 plays) since Week 3 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Ravens threw the ball 24% of the time (13 Pass Attempts/55 plays) on 3rd and short last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

The Browns defense has allowed 34.5 Points per Game (207/6) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24.6.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns defense has allowed 14 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Browns defense allowed at least 5 yards on 38% of first down plays last season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats for Week 7

43% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Ravens defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of plays in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Ravens defense has allowed 123 of 453 (27%) first downs on the ground since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Ravens defense allowed 10.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (401 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6.3.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.