Buccaneers vs 49ers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14

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San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan stands on the sidelines during the second half of an NFL football game against the Los Angeles Rams Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The 49ers (8-4) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers (6-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 37 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Santa Clara.

The 49ers are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Buccaneers vs. 49ers Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.

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Buccaneers vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buccaneers+3.5 -11538 -110+150
49ers -3.5 -10538 -110-185

Buccaneers vs. 49ers Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this Week 14 game with 55.3% confidence.

Buccaneers vs 49ers Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread this Week 14 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and 49ers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tom Brady has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Cameron Brate has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 59% ROI)

Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • George Kittle has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brandon Aiyuk has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+3.90 Units / 17% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Buccaneers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey +500
Brandon Aiyuk +800
Rachaad White +800
Deebo Samuel +800
Leonard Fournette +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Buccaneers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Christian McCaffrey -115
Rachaad White +120
Brandon Aiyuk +150
Deebo Samuel +150
Leonard Fournette +180

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Brandon Aiyuk 43.5 -110 43.5 -120
Kyle Juszczyk 8.5 -110 8.5 -120
Mike Evans 50.5 -120 50.5 -110
Cade Otton 19.5 -110 19.5 -120
George Kittle 30.5 -115 30.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Buccaneers

Player Name Over Under
Brock Purdy 8.5 -110 8.5 -120
Deebo Samuel 12.5 -120 12.5 -110
Christian Mccaffrey 51.5 -115 51.5 -115
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)

Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 3-8 (-5.95 Units / -44.57% ROI).

  • Buccaneers are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -36.89% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 2-10 when betting the Over for -9 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • Buccaneers are 10-2 when betting the Under for +7.8 Units / ROI

49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.41% ROI).

  • 49ers are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 4.19% ROI
  • 49ers are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • 49ers are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers

The Buccaneers are winless (0-4) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.

The Buccaneers are undefeated (12-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .571.

The Buccaneers are undefeated (3-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .553.

The Buccaneers are 4-1 (.800) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .547.

San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The 49ers are undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .547.

The 49ers are undefeated (12-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .540.

The 49ers are 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .663.

The 49ers are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers ran successful plays on just 32.3% of rush attempts last week — third-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 24.0% of rush attempts in Week 13 — best in NFL.

The Buccaneers have gone three and out on 27.4% of their drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL. 49ers have forced three and outs on 28% of opponent drives this season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers have run just 36.1% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 10 — third-worst in NFL. 49ers have allowed their opponents to run just 36.4% of plays in their territory since Week 10 — third-best in NFL.

The Buccaneers have scored on 26.5% of their drives since Week 10 — fourth-worst in NFL. The 49ers defense has allowed scores on 20.9% of opponent drives since Week 10 — best in NFL.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Buccaneers converted first downs on 53 of 70 plays (76%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Buccaneers ran the ball on 32% of plays (367 carries/1,141 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 74% of the time (159 Pass Attempts/215 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 39% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

The 49ers have gone three and out on 12% of their drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 56% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 32% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 24% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Buccaneers defense allowed first downs on 4% of rush attempts in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Only 38% of the plays run against the Buccaneers have been in their own territory this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The 49ers defense allowed 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (328 yards / 26 touches) in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.

The 49ers defense has allowed an average of 10.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17.7.

The 49ers defense averaged a turnover percentage of 9% (4 / 45) in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 2%.

The 49ers defense has allowed 304.1 yards from scrimmage per game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 358.4.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.