- The 49ers (8-4) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Buccaneers (6-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 37 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Santa Clara.
The 49ers are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Buccaneers vs. 49ers Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Buccaneers vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buccaneers | +3.5 -115 | 38 -110 | +150 |
| 49ers | -3.5 -105 | 38 -110 | -185 |
Buccaneers vs. 49ers Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this Week 14 game with 55.3% confidence.
Buccaneers vs 49ers Spread Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread this Week 14 with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Buccaneers and 49ers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Buccaneers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tom Brady has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tom Brady has hit the TD Passes Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cameron Brate has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 59% ROI)
Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jimmy Garoppolo has hit the Interceptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Aiyuk has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+3.90 Units / 17% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Buccaneers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | +500 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +800 |
| Rachaad White | +800 |
| Deebo Samuel | +800 |
| Leonard Fournette | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Buccaneers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | -115 |
| Rachaad White | +120 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +150 |
| Deebo Samuel | +150 |
| Leonard Fournette | +180 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Buccaneers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Aiyuk | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -120 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
| Mike Evans | 50.5 -120 | 50.5 -110 |
| Cade Otton | 19.5 -110 | 19.5 -120 |
| George Kittle | 30.5 -115 | 30.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Buccaneers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 8.5 -110 | 8.5 -120 |
| Deebo Samuel | 12.5 -120 | 12.5 -110 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -115 |
Buccaneers Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
49ers Best Bets for Week 14:
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers have gone 3-8 (-5.95 Units / -44.57% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -36.89% ROI
- Buccaneers are 2-10 when betting the Over for -9 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Buccaneers are 10-2 when betting the Under for +7.8 Units / ROI
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.41% ROI).
- 49ers are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 4.19% ROI
- 49ers are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- 49ers are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Buccaneers are winless (0-4) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (12-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (3-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .553.
The Buccaneers are 4-1 (.800) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .547.
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The 49ers are undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .547.
The 49ers are undefeated (12-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .540.
The 49ers are 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .663.
The 49ers are winless (0-2) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
Additional Matchup Notes for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers ran successful plays on just 32.3% of rush attempts last week — third-worst in NFL. Buccaneers allowed successful plays on just 24.0% of rush attempts in Week 13 — best in NFL.
The Buccaneers have gone three and out on 27.4% of their drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL. 49ers have forced three and outs on 28% of opponent drives this season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Buccaneers have run just 36.1% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 10 — third-worst in NFL. 49ers have allowed their opponents to run just 36.4% of plays in their territory since Week 10 — third-best in NFL.
The Buccaneers have scored on 26.5% of their drives since Week 10 — fourth-worst in NFL. The 49ers defense has allowed scores on 20.9% of opponent drives since Week 10 — best in NFL.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 12% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Buccaneers converted first downs on 53 of 70 plays (76%) on 3rd and short last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
The Buccaneers ran the ball on 32% of plays (367 carries/1,141 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Buccaneers have thrown the ball 74% of the time (159 Pass Attempts/215 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 39% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
The 49ers have gone three and out on 12% of their drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 56% in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The 49ers have a third down conversion rate of 32% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 19%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Buccaneers defense has blitzed on 24% of plays since the 2021 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed first downs on 4% of rush attempts in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Buccaneers defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Only 38% of the plays run against the Buccaneers have been in their own territory this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
The 49ers defense allowed 12.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (328 yards / 26 touches) in Week 13 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7.3.
The 49ers defense has allowed an average of 10.2 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17.7.
The 49ers defense averaged a turnover percentage of 9% (4 / 45) in Week 13 — best in NFL; League Avg: 2%.
The 49ers defense has allowed 304.1 yards from scrimmage per game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 358.4.
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