Chargers vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 5

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Myles Garrett Cleveland Browns muscles
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 09, 2022, 9:11 AM
  • The Chargers (2-2) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Browns (2-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-2) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Chargers vs. Browns Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Browns vs Chargers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Chargers vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 5

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chargers-1.5 -11046.5 -110-125
Browns +1.5 -11046.5 -110+105

Chargers vs. Browns Prediction for Week 5

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 5 game with 51.7% confidence.

Chargers vs Browns Spread Prediction for Week 5

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread this Week 5 with 64.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • DeAndre Carter has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 away games (+6.10 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chester Rogers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+4.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Kareem Hunt has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Chargers

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Austin Ekeler +450
    Nick Chubb +500
    Mike Williams +750
    Kareem Hunt +900
    Gerald Everett +1100

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Chargers

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Nick Chubb -225
    Austin Ekeler -200
    Mike Williams +100
    Kareem Hunt +100
    Gerald Everett +160

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Chargers

    Player Name Over Under
    Nick Chubb 7.5 -110 7.5 -120
    Donovan Peoples-Jones 33.5 -110 33.5 -115
    Austin Ekeler 38.5 -115 38.5 -115
    Kareem Hunt 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
    David Bell 9.5 -115 9.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Chargers

    Player Name Over Under
    Jacoby Brissett 13.5 -115 13.5 -110
    Austin Ekeler 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
    Nick Chubb 90.5 -115 90.5 -115
    Justin Herbert 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
    Kareem Hunt 43.5 -110 43.5 -115
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

    • Chargers are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -21.66% ROI
    • Chargers are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
    • Chargers are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / ROI

    Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • Browns are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -25.36% ROI
    • Browns are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
    • Browns are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

    Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

    The Chargers are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .300.

    The Chargers are 2-6 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.

    The Chargers are 8-1 (.889) when leading at the end of first quarter since the 2021 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .692.

    The Chargers are 3-10 (.231) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .361.

    Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

    The Browns are undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .675.

    The Browns are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .149.

    The Browns are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.

    The Browns are 1-5 (.167) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .321.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns

    The Browns have scored on 46.3% of their drives this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 42.2% of opponent drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    Browns RBs have averaged 137.0 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed an average of 134.1 rushing yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Browns have rushed the ball on 52.7% of plays from scrimmage this season — third-highest in NFL. The Chargers have allowed 5.7 yards per carry this season — second-worst in NFL.

    Chargers RBs have 11 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — most in NFL. The Browns have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

    The Chargers have thrown for just 6.9 yards per attempt on first down since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed just 6.1 yards per dropback on first down since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL.

    Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.

    The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

    The Chargers converted first downs on 114 of 333 plays (34%) in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

    The Chargers averaged 295.8 passing yards per game (5,028/17) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 244.0.

    Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Browns have faced a blitz just 8% of the time this season — tied for 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

    The Browns ran none of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half in Week 4 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

    The Browns have gone three and out on 8% of their drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

    The Browns have gone three and out 4 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

    Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 5

    The Chargers defense has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 17 carries in the red zone this season — tied for best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

    The Chargers defense has allowed 13 of 68 (19%) first downs on the ground this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

    The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    The Chargers defense allowed an average of 5.7 yards after contact per carry (14 carries) in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

    Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 5

    Offenses facing the Browns have thrown deep balls on 19% of pass attempts (23/123) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

    Offenses facing the Browns threw deep balls on 32% of pass attempts (6/19) in Week 4 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

    The Browns defense allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 18 passes (39% Reception Pct) in Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 67%.

    The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.