Chargers vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 9

min read
Cleveland Browns' Denzel Ward (21) plays during an NFL football game against the Washington Commanders, Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023, in Landover, Md. Browns top cornerback Denzel Ward cleared concussion protocol and will start in Sunday's season opener against Cincinnati, giving Cleveland's secondary its best player as it tries to stop Joe Burrow and his trio of receivers.
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr., File)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Chargers are -2 point favorites vs the Browns
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-3-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-6-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Chargers vs. Browns Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Browns vs Chargers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Chargers vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Chargers-1.5 -11042.5 -110-125
Browns +1.5 -11042.5 -110+105

Chargers vs. Browns Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Chargers vs Browns Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 69.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Browns vs Chargers and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Will Dissly has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Gus Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.90 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jerome Ford has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 29% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Chargers

Player Name 1st TD Odds
J.K. Dobbins (LAC) +500
Nick Chubb (Cle) +575

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Chargers

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
J.K. Dobbins (LAC) -125
Nick Chubb (Cle) +100

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Chargers

Player Name Over Under
David Njoku (CLE) 51.5 -110 51.5 -120
Nick Chubb (CLE) 7.5 -110 7.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Chargers

Player Name Over Under
Justin Herbert (LAC) 9.5 -120 9.5 -110
Nick Chubb (CLE) 48.5 -115 48.5 -115
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers art 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI).

  • Chargers are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 6.69% ROI
  • Chargers are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
  • Chargers are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 3-5 (-2.55 Units / -28.49% ROI).

  • Browns are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -41.98% ROI
  • Browns are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Browns are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

The Chargers are winless (0-8) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Chargers were 3-8 (.273) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Chargers were 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Browns were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .536.

The Browns are 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.

The Browns are 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .628.

The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.

Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have run just 11.0% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed their opponent to run just 11.3% of plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — best in NFL.

The Browns ran just 9.1% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers allowed their opponent to run just 5.9% of plays in the red zone last week — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Browns have been successful on just 28.6% of plays they have ran against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 33.3% of plays with a light front this season — T-5th-best in NFL.

The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of just 9.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Chargers have run successful plays on just 28.6% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 28.6% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 52.4% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.

Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats

The Chargers have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Chargers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Chargers have run successful plays on 24% of plays in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 9% on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Browns have averaged -0.31 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Browns have run successful plays on 33% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Browns ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats

The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 20% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

Only 7% of the plays run against the Chargers have been in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Chargers defense have allowed -0.52 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.

The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 34% of plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Browns vs Chargers and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.