- The Chargers are -2 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Los Angeles Chargers (4-3-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (2-6-0) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Browns Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chargers | -1.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -125 |
| Browns | +1.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +105 |
Chargers vs. Browns Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chargers vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 69.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- Will Dissly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Will Dissly has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gus Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.90 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 29% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Chargers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins (LAC) | +500 |
| Nick Chubb (Cle) | +575 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Chargers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins (LAC) | -125 |
| Nick Chubb (Cle) | +100 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Chargers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| David Njoku (CLE) | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -120 |
| Nick Chubb (CLE) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Chargers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 -110 |
| Nick Chubb (CLE) | 48.5 -115 | 48.5 -115 |
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers art 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI).
- Chargers are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 6.69% ROI
- Chargers are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
- Chargers are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 3-5 (-2.55 Units / -28.49% ROI).
- Browns are 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -41.98% ROI
- Browns are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Browns are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Chargers are winless (0-8) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were 3-8 (.273) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers were 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Browns were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
The Browns are 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.
The Browns are 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .628.
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns have run just 11.0% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed their opponent to run just 11.3% of plays in the red zone since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Browns ran just 9.1% offensive plays in the red zone last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chargers allowed their opponent to run just 5.9% of plays in the red zone last week — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Browns have been successful on just 28.6% of plays they have ran against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Chargers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 33.3% of plays with a light front this season — T-5th-best in NFL.
The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of just 9.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Browns defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 11.1% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Chargers have run successful plays on just 28.6% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 28.6% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 52.4% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats
The Chargers have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 2nd half this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Chargers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Chargers have run successful plays on 24% of plays in the red zone this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 9% on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Browns have averaged -0.31 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Browns have run successful plays on 33% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats
The Chargers defense has allowed successful plays on 20% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
Only 7% of the plays run against the Chargers have been in the red zone this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Chargers defense have allowed -0.52 epa per play on first drive of the game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Chargers defense has allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 34% of plays last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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