Colts vs Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2022, 8:36 AM
  • The Colts (0-0) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars (0-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Indianapolis Colts (0-0) visit TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1) on Sep. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville.

The Colts are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Colts vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

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Colts vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Indianapolis Colts-3.5 -11045 -110-185
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 -11045 -110+150

Colts vs. Jaguars Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 2 game with 75.0% confidence.

Colts vs Jaguars Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 2 with 64.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Mo Alie-Cox has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • James Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • James Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • James Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Colts

Player Name Over Under
Christian Kirk 57.5 -115 57.5 -115
Evan Engram 29.5 -115 29.5 -115
Marvin Jones Jr. 42.5 -110 42.5 -115
Zay Jones 43.5 -110 43.5 -115
Michael Pittman Jr. 61.5 -115 61.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Colts

Player Name Over Under
James Robinson 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
Trevor Lawrence 14.5 -120 14.5 -110
Jonathan Taylor 99.5 -115 99.5 -115
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+10.65 Units / 140% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Colts are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Colts are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Colts are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Jaguars are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Jaguars are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Jaguars are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Colts were winless (0-5) whe trailing at the end of the frist half last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

The Colts were winless (0-2) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

The Colts are 16-3-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2020 season — tied for seventh-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed an average of 138.6 rushing yards per game since the 2020 season — third-worst in NFL.

The Colts were winless (0-2) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .165.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Jaguars were 0-8 (.000) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — tied for worst in NFL. The Colts intercepted 19 passes last season — tied for third-most in NFL.

The Jaguars are winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .800.

The Jaguars were winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .341.

The Jaguars were 1-14 (.067) when not forcing a fumble last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

Additional Matchup Notes for Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars went three and out on 25.6% of their drives last season — fourth-worst in NFL. Colts forced three and outs on 22.5% of opponent drives last season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Jaguars scored on 27% of their drives in the first half last season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense allowed scores on 32.6% of opponent drives in the first half last season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Jaguars have run just 11.6% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2020 season — worst in NFL. Colts has allowed their opponent to run just 13.0% of plays in the red zone since the 2020 season — third-best in NFL.

Colts RBs averaged 5.9 touches per game in the red zone last season — second-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs last season — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Colts have run 51.2% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2020 season — second-best in NFL. Jaguars have allowed their opponents to run 49.8% of plays in their territory since the 2020 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

Colts RBs had 16 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — third-most in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 20 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — tied for third-most in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Colts ran 90 plays in Week 1 — 2nd-most in NFL.

48% of the Colts offense’s first downs (154 of 320) came on the ground last season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

The Colts have run 20% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Colts ran 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Jaguars scored on 26% of their drives last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Jaguars had an average drive start position from the 23.5 yard line last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.5.

The Jaguars have a third down conversion rate of 29% in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Jaguars went three and out 15 times in the 3rd quarter last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 44.1 on 3rd and short (40 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 99.7.

The Colts defense allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations last season — most in NFL.

The Colts defense pressured opposing QBs on 19% of pass attempts last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Colts defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 1st quarter in Week 1 — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 2

The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 49% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 49% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 53% of opponent drives in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.