- The Browns are -2.5 point favorites vs the Cowboys
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Dallas Cowboys (0-0-0) visit Cleveland Browns Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
The Browns are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Cowboys vs. Browns Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cowboys | +2.5 -105 | 41.5 -110 | +115 |
| Browns | -2.5 -115 | 41.5 -110 | -140 |
Cowboys vs. Browns Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cowboys vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 72% ROI)
- Brandin Cooks has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Dustin Hopkins has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Cowboys
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jerome Ford (CLE) | +650 |
| CeeDee Lamb (Dal) | +750 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Ferguson (DAL) | 39.5 -110 | 39.5 -120 |
| David Njoku (CLE) | 44.5 -120 | 44.5 -110 |
| Jerry Jeudy (CLE) | 35.5 -115 | 35.5 -115 |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 83.5 -120 | 83.5 -115 |
| Amari Cooper (CLE) | 57.5 -115 | 57.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Cowboys
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson (CLE) | 21.5 -110 | 21.5 -120 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 11.5 -115 | 11.5 -115 |
| Jerome Ford (CLE) | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 -115 |
| Ezekiel Elliott (Dal) | 34.5 -120 | 34.5 -110 |
| Rico Dowdle (DAL) | 25.5 -115 | 25.5 -115 |
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Cowboys went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Cowboys are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -31.43% ROI
- Cowboys are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Cowboys are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Browns went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Browns are 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Browns are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Browns are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Cowboys were 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL. The Browns turned the ball over 38 times last season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys were 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .594.
The Cowboys were 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
The Cowboys are 11-1 (.917) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .498.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Browns were undefeated (4-0) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .536.
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Browns were undefeated (3-0) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Browns were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns ran successful plays on just 35.3% of pass attempts against a heavy rush last season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Cowboys allowed successful plays on just 26.1% of pass attempts with a heavy rush last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.10 epa per play with motion since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just -0.08 epa per play against motion since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Browns ran successful plays on 53.1% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 4th-best in NFL. The Cowboys allowed successful plays on 61.1% of pass attempts on their own side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have run successful plays on just 42.6% of rush attempts against a base rush since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed successful plays on just 44.3% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 65.2% of rush attempts with motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Browns allowed successful plays on 54.8% of rush attempts against motion in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys were 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL. The Browns turned the ball over 38 times last season — most in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 100% of rush attempts on motion plays in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Cowboys converted first downs on 25 of 60 plays (42%) when their QB was scrambling last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 77% of plays on motion plays in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns ran successful plays on 0% of plays in the 1st quarter in Week 18 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns ran successful plays on 15% of plays on motion plays in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Browns ran successful plays on 36% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Browns ran successful plays on 35% of plays on motion plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of just 63.7 with a light front (309 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 84.1.
The Cowboys defense allowed 0.55 epa per play with a light rush last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Cowboys defense allowed a passer rating of just 2.5 with tight coverage (132 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.
The Cowboys defense have allowed -0.23 epa per play with a light front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of plays on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense allowed -0.11 epa per play first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of plays first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
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