- The Eagles are -9 point favorites vs the Cowboys
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Dallas Cowboys (7-8-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (12-3-0) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Eagles Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cowboys | +9 -110 | 41.5 -110 | +310 |
| Eagles | -9 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -400 |
Cowboys vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 85.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Cowboys vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
- Brandon Aubrey has hit the Field Goals Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Cooper Rush has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games (+5.90 Units / 102% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rico Dowdle has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+9.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys art 6-9 (-3.8 Units / -23.38% ROI).
- Cowboys are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 9.79% ROI
- Cowboys are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Cowboys are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 9-6 (+2.45 Units / 14.71% ROI).
- Eagles are 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 18.66% ROI
- Eagles are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Eagles are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys were 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .570.
The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .612.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Eagles are 12-2 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed an average of 137.5 rushing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
The Eagles were 10-2 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles are undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have been successful on 55.5% of plays they have run against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed their opponents to be successful on 51.2% of plays with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have averaged 0.22 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2023 season — best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed 0.21 epa per play with a stacked front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have run successful plays on 50.6% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on 53.7% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys have been successful on just 41.3% of plays they have run on play action passes this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 42.3% of plays on play action passes this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on just 35.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed successful plays on just 34.8% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — 5th-best in NFL.
The Cowboys have averaged just -0.07 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just -0.01 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 21% of plays against a base front in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Cowboys have committed 8 turnovers in the red zone this season — most in NFL.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 11% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 13% of rush attempts against a base front in Week 16 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles have thrown the ball 39% of the time (388 Pass Attempts/985 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Eagles have run the ball on 39% of plays (81 carries/209 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats
The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 14% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Cowboys defense allowed just 4.3 yards per dropback (561 yards/131 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Cowboys defense have allowed -0.71 epa per play with tight coverage since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.
The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 18% on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense have forced three and outs on 10% of opponent drives in the 2nd half since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Eagles defense forced 6 turnovers in Week 16 — most in NFL.
The Eagles defense forced 4 fumbles in Week 16 — most in NFL.
The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of pass attempts open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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