Cowboys vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 4

Giants player number 8 holding a NFL game ball.
(AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)
  • The Cowboys are -6 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch this game on Amazon

The Dallas Cowboys (1-2-0) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (1-2-0) on Sep. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in East Rutherford, NJ.

The are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cowboys vs. Giants Over/Under is total points for the game.

Bet now on Giants vs Cowboys & all NFL games with BetMGM

Cowboys vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cowboys
Giants

Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 74.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Cowboys vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Giants vs Cowboys and all NFL games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dak Prescott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Rico Dowdle has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brandin Cooks has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Devin Singletary has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys art ( Units / ROI).

  • Cowboys are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -56.84% ROI
  • Cowboys are 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Cowboys are 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants are ( Units / ROI).

  • Giants are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 9.68% ROI
  • Giants are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Giants are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 132.8 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Cowboys are 11-1 (.917) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .498.

The Cowboys are undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants are 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season — 8th-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have intercepted 20 passes since the 2023 season — T-5th-most in NFL.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.

The Giants are 3-7 (.300) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .710.

Additional Matchup Notes for Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

The Giants have run successful plays on just 34.5% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on just 25.9% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 27.0% of plays they have ran against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 25.9% of plays with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Giants have averaged just -0.22 epa per play against a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just -0.14 epa per play with a light front since the 2023 season — T-5th-best in NFL.

The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 132.8 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have averaged 5.2 touches per game in the red zone since the 2023 season — T-4th-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed 15 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-most in NFL.

Cowboys WRs have 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys scored on 49% of their drives last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.

The Cowboys converted first downs on 25 of 60 plays (42%) when their QB was scrambling last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 23%.

The Cowboys ran 66% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Cowboys had 6 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 3 — T-most in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants have run successful plays on 28% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense has allowed 8 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of just 62.3 with a light front (326 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 84.1.

The Cowboys defense has allowed 7 rushing TDs in the red zone this season — most in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of just 63.4 with a light front (136 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 83.3.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 100% of rush attempts against play action passes since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Giants defense blitzed on 36% of plays in Week 3 — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Giants defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts open coverage in Week 3 — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.

The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Giants vs Cowboys and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโ€™s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today โ€” or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ€” to start betting!

About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.