- The Cowboys’ 2024 preseason win total is set at 9.5 wins at BetMGM.
- Dallas earned their second division title over the last three years in 2023.
- Will a bad offseason render Dallas a negative regression candidate in 2024?
For the 2024 NFL season, the Cowboys win total sits at 9.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
The Cowboys followed a similar script to past seasons in 2023. After winning 12 games and earning the second seed in the NFC, they fell in the wild card round to the Packers.
Following an early exit, the offseason has proved….slow. Dallas has lost a number of key pieces and hasn’t done much to replace those talents.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Dallas’ 2024 win total.
Cowboys Win Total Odds
The Cowboys’ season win total is set at 9.5 games, which is down from 10.5 wins at market open.
Oddsmakers expect the over is the more likely outcome. Currently, Dallas is -145 to win 10 or more games, an implied probability of 59.2%.
Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with nine or fewer wins is +120, an implied probability of 45.5%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC East teams:
- Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5 Wins
- Dallas Cowboys: 9.5 Wins
- New York Giants: 6.5 Wins
- Washington Commanders: 6.5 Wins
Cowboys Win Total Prediction 2024
LEAN Cowboys Under 10.5 Wins (-175)
If you’re taking the under on this win total, you almost certainly believe the Commanders and Giants will improve.
While I agree with the heavy juice, I’m electing not to lay it with the Cowboys. That said, all signs point to the Cowboys struggling.
Defensive coordinator Dan Quinn departs to lead Washington, who also signed Dorance Armstrong, Dante Fowler Jr. and Tyler Biadasz from the Cowboys.
Additionally, corner Stephon Gilmore seems unlikely to return to Dallas.
Add in linebacker Leighton Vander Esch’s career-ending injury, and bettors can expect a weaker Cowboys defense year over year.
To boot, the Cowboys face a very difficult schedule, particularly early.
Based on opponent win totals, Dallas faces 11 games against teams projected to win eight or more games. Eight of those games come in their first 10.
Their offense leaves something to be desired, too. CeeDee Lamb remains, but switching from Tony Pollard to Ezekiel Elliott feels like a downgrade.
Left tackle Tyron Smith, despite all his injury woes, leaves a hole at left tackle for both Elliott and Dak Prescott.
That said, if you like the under on Dallas, you’re almost better off taking the over on the Giants or Commanders. For those teams, over 6.5 wins is +115 and -120, respectively.
At the current price on Dallas, it’s a stay-away for me.
Cowboys Over/Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 9.5 | -145 | +120 |
| Week 2 | 10.5 | +100 | -120 |
| Week 3 | 10.5 | +125 | -150 |
| Week 4 | 9.5 | +120 | -145 |
Most Wins in Cowboys History
The Cowboys have won 13 games three times in franchise history. The first time was in 1992, and the most recent was in 2016.
Fewest Wins in Cowboys History
The Cowboys’ lowest win total in franchise history is zero (0-11-1) in their inaugural season in 1960.
In 1989, the Cowboys won one game, followed by the best run in franchise history from 1990 to 1996.
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