Eagles vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Cowboys (10-4) are -5.5 point favorites vs the Eagles (13-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Philadelphia Eagles (13-1) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (10-4) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Arlington.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Eagles vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles+4.5 -11047.5 -110+170
Cowboys -4.5 -11047.5 -110-210

Eagles vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 16 game with 48.3% confidence.

Eagles vs Cowboys Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread this Week 16 with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Dalton Schultz has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Eagles

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Tony Pollard +600
Ezekiel Elliott +650
CeeDee Lamb +800
Miles Sanders +900
AJ Brown +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Eagles

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Miles Sanders -105
Tony Pollard +100
Ezekiel Elliott +115
AJ Brown +120
CeeDee Lamb +140

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
Miles Sanders 6.5 -125 6.5 -105
Ezekiel Elliott 7.5 -120 7.5 -110
Dallas Goedert 39.5 -120 39.5 -115
DeVonta Smith 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
A.J. Brown 68.5 -115 68.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
Tony Pollard 58.5 -120 58.5 -110
Dak Prescott 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Ezekiel Elliott 59.5 -115 59.5 -120
Gardner Minshew 14.5 -110 14.5 -120
Miles Sanders 64.5 -120 64.5 -110
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+8.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 8-6 (+1.4 Units / 9.12% ROI).

  • Eagles are 13-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 16.91% ROI
  • Eagles are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
  • Eagles are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 8-6 (+1.35 Units / 8.79% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 13.95% ROI
  • Cowboys are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Cowboys are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .401.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

The Eagles are undefeated (7-0) on the road this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .440.

The Eagles were winless (0-3) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Cowboys are undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .604.

The Cowboys are 7-2 (.778) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Cowboys are 15-1 (.938) when leading at the end of first quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .644.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have 9 touchdown passes since Week 12 — tied for third-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 8 passing TDs since Week 12 — tied for second-most in NFL.

The Eagles have thrown the ball just 46.1% of the time this season — tied for fourth-lowest in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just 5.9 yards per dropback this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

Eagles RBs have just 13.6 receiving yards per game this season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys have averaged just 23.4 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs this season — third-best in NFL.

The Eagles allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 2.7% of pass attempts last week — best in NFL. The Cowboys have pressured opposing QBs on just 9.5% of passing plays in Week 14 — fourth-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Eagles have run the ball on 46% of plays (83 carries/182 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Eagles have rushed for 30 TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Eagles have 16 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — tied for most in NFL.

The Eagles have rushed for 55 TDs since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Cowboys have rushed for 9 TDs since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Cowboys have converted first downs on 3 of 5 plays (60%) when their QB has scrambled since Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Cowboys were not flagged on offense in Week 15 — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Cowboys have started 15 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 21.0 on 3rd and long (53 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.1.

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (55/512) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 51.8 on 3rd and long (133 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.5.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Cowboys defense has averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (38/31) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 50% on third and 10+ yards to go since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Cowboys defense has forced 18 fumbles this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Only 37% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.