Eagles vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 8:15 AM
  • The Eagles (0-0) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Lions (0-0)
  • Watch the game on FOX
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points

The Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm ET in Detroit.

The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Eagles vs. Lions Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Philadelphia Eagles-4.5 -11048.5 -110-225
Detroit Lions +4.5 -11048.5 -110+180

Eagles vs. Lions Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 62.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miles Sanders has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.90 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 5 games (+6.55 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Eagles

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jalen Hurts +650
AJ Brown +750
Miles Sanders +750
Devonta Smith +800
D'Andre Swift +800

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Lions vs Eagles

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
D'Andre Swift -140
Jalen Hurts -105
Miles Sanders +120
AJ Brown +120
Amon-Ra St. Brown +120

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Lions vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
D'Andre Swift 31.5 -115 31.5 -110
DeVonta Smith 44.5 -115 44.5 -115
A.J. Brown 64.5 -115 64.5 -115
Dallas Goedert 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
Josh Reynolds 23.5 -115 23.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Lions vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
D'Andre Swift 51.5 -110 51.5 -115
Miles Sanders 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
Jalen Hurts 48.5 -115 48.5 -115
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have scored last in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+7.65 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Eagles were winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

The Eagles were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Lions were 1-9-1 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.

The Lions are 2-3-2 (.286) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2019 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .818.

The Lions were winless (0-10) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .128.

The Lions were winless (0-9) when rushing less than 25 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions

Lions RBs averaged 8.0 targets per game last season — fifth-highest in NFL. The Eagles allowed 6.5 receptions per game to RBs last season — third-worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 5.7 yards after catch per reception to RBs in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — tied for second-best in NFL.

The Lions threw for 10.1 yards per attempt on passes up the middle last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed 10.0 yards per dropback when defending passes up the middle last season — second-worst in NFL.

The Eagles had a third down conversion rate of 46.1% last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Lions defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 45.8% last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 48.7% of rush attempts last season — tied for second-best in NFL. Lions allowed successful plays on 46.7% of rush attempts last season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Eagles ran 52.3% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field last season — fourth-best in NFL. Lions allowed their opponents to run52.2% of plays in their territory last season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Eagles threw the ball 46% of the time (495 Pass Attempts/1,077 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Eagles ran 57% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

51% of the Eagles offense’s first downs (167 of 330) came through the air last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 64%.

49% of the Eagles offense’s first downs (163 of 330) came on the ground last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions started 28 drives inside their own 20 yard line last season — fewest in NFL.

The Lions threw 76% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield last season — tied for highest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 14% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 18 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense allowed 5 TD passes in Week 18 — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed 7 TDs in Week 18 — most in NFL.

The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 151.6 (28 Pass Attempts) in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 94.5.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 1

The Lions defense forced three and outs on 14% of opponent drives last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Lions defense allowed 75 broken tackles last season — most in NFL.

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 12% of the time (67 Pass Attempts/544 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense allowed scores on 46% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.