- The Falcons are predicted to be +3.5-point underdogs against the Chiefs.
- Patrick Mahomes is 22-10 SU in his career in primetime games.
- My prediction for Sunday Night Football is a Mahomes player prop.
Off a shocking win on Monday Night Football, the Falcons welcome the Chiefs to Atlanta for Sunday Night Football.
A late touchdown against the Eagles gave Atlanta a road win. That moves the Falcons to 1-1 on the season following a home loss to Pittsburgh.
Kansas City moved to 2-0 last week after a game-winning field goal gave the hosts a win over the Bengals.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines and my Falcons vs. Chiefs prediction.
Falcons vs. Chiefs Odds
- Atlanta Falcons Moneyline: +155
- Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline: -190
- Game Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-110)
- Game Over/Under: 46.5 Points
Falcons vs. Chiefs Prediction, SNF
My prediction for Falcons vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football is Patrick Mahomes Over 35.5 Passing Attempts (-115).
The concern here is that Mahomes has stayed under this number in two straight games and faces a Falcons team that is decent against the pass.
But Isiah Pacheco is out for Kansas City.
Last season, Pacheco missed two games for Kansas City. In those contests, Mahomes cleared this number both times, including a 37-attempt game in a victory.
Irrespective of whether Pacheco plays or not, Mahomes has a strong history at clearing this number.
Dating back to last season, Mahomes has cleared this number in 10 of 18 regular season games and 13 of 22 in both the regular and postseason.
Add in he’s facing a Falcons team playing on short rest, and I’ll take the over on Mahomes attempts against a unit whose quality I question.
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