- The Commanders are -1.5 point favorites vs the Giants
- Total (Over/Under): 44 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The New York Giants (0-1-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (0-1-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Landover, MD.
The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Giants vs. Commanders Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Giants vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -105 | 44 -110 | +105 |
| Commanders | -1.5 -115 | 44 -110 | -125 |
Giants vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 57.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Giants vs Commanders Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today
- Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- The New York Giants have scored first in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Giants went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Giants are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Giants are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Giants are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Commanders went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Commanders are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Commanders are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Commanders are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.
The Giants were 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed 262.2 passing yards per game last season — worst in NFL.
The Giants were 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 defenses last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Giants were 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Commanders were 1-8 (.111) when playing in cold weather last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders were winless (0-8) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Commanders are winless (0-9) after a road win since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Commanders were 2-11 (.154) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 6th-worst in NFL. The Giants intercepted 18 passes last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders
Commanders RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed 9.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Commanders allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 8.3% of pass attempts last week — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Giants had pressured opposing QBs on just 8.3% of passing plays last week — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Commanders averaged 5.0 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed 5.3 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Giants ran successful plays on just 25.9% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed successful plays on just 27.6% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Giants threw the ball 61.8% of the time last week — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Commanders allowed 9.3 yards per dropback last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Giants threw the ball 10 yards or less 75.1% of pass attempts last season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Commanders allowed 6.5 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
New York Giants Offense: Important Stats
The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Giants QBs were sacked 85 times last season — most in NFL.
The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders have run successful plays on 31% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 36% of plays on play action passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Commanders threw the ball 57% of the time (267 Pass Attempts/465 plays) on 1st down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Commanders ran the ball on 34% of plays (355 carries/1,060 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
New York Giants Defense: Important Stats
The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.
The Giants defense blitzed 277 times last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of plays on motion plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
Offenses facing the Giants targeted RBs 12% of the time (145 Pass Attempts/1,173 plays) since the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Commanders defense allowed 4 TD passes in Week 1 — most in NFL.
The Commanders defense allowed 0.16 epa per play in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Commanders defense allowed 39 TD passes last season — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
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- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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