Giants vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 2

min read

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2024, 11:29 AM

The Commanders are -1.5 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 44 points
Watch this game on FOX

The New York Giants (0-1-0) visit Northwest Stadium to take on the Washington Commanders (0-1-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Landover, MD.

The Commanders are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Giants vs. Commanders Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.

Bet now on Commanders vs Giants & all NFL games with BetMGM

Giants vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Giants	+1.5 -105	44 -110	+105
Commanders	-1.5 -115	44 -110	-125

Giants vs. Commanders Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this game with 57.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Commanders Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Commanders vs Giants and all NFL games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

Darius Slayton has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.80 Units / 73% ROI)

Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 39% ROI)

Devin Singletary has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)

Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 120% ROI)

Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today

Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)

Terry McLaurin has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)

Austin Ekeler has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)

Brian Robinson has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Brian Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)

The New York Giants have scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)

The New York Giants have scored first in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)

The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Commanders Best Bets:

The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)

The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)

The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)

The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 25% ROI)

The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Giants went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

Giants are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Giants are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Giants are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Commanders went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

Commanders are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
Commanders are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Commanders are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants were 3-1 (.750) when passing for 250 or more yards last season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed 262.2 passing yards per game last season — worst in NFL.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 defenses last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Giants were 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .488.

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Commanders were 1-8 (.111) when playing in cold weather last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Commanders were winless (0-8) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Commanders are winless (0-9) after a road win since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .459.

The Commanders were 2-11 (.154) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 6th-worst in NFL. The Giants intercepted 18 passes last season — T-3rd-most in NFL.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders

Commanders RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed 9.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Commanders allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 8.3% of pass attempts last week — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Giants had pressured opposing QBs on just 8.3% of passing plays last week — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Commanders averaged 5.0 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field last season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Giants allowed 5.3 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Giants ran successful plays on just 25.9% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL. The Commanders allowed successful plays on just 27.6% of pass attempts with a stacked front last season — 3rd-best in NFL.

The Giants threw the ball 61.8% of the time last week — 3rd-highest in NFL. The Commanders allowed 9.3 yards per dropback last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Giants threw the ball 10 yards or less 75.1% of pass attempts last season — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Commanders allowed 6.5 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

Giants QBs were sacked 85 times last season — most in NFL.

The Giants were sacked on 14% of pass attempts (85/603) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats

The Commanders have run successful plays on 31% of pass attempts against a stacked front since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Commanders ran successful plays on 36% of plays on play action passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Commanders threw the ball 57% of the time (267 Pass Attempts/465 plays) on 1st down last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Commanders ran the ball on 34% of plays (355 carries/1,060 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Giants defense blitzed 277 times last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Giants defense has allowed successful plays on 51% of plays on motion plays since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Offenses facing the Giants targeted RBs 12% of the time (145 Pass Attempts/1,173 plays) since the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats

The Commanders defense allowed scores on 51% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Commanders defense allowed 4 TD passes in Week 1 — most in NFL.

The Commanders defense allowed 0.16 epa per play in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.

The Commanders defense allowed 39 TD passes last season — most in NFL.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Commanders vs Giants and all NFL games with BetMGM

More NFL Betting Predictions:

More NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.

From futures like Chiefs AFC West odds, Lions odds to win the Super Bowl, or Titans playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.

And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!

About the Author