Giants vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 24, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • The Cowboys (7-3) are -9 point favorites vs the Giants (7-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The New York Giants (7-3) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (7-3) on Nov. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Arlington on Thanksgiving.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Giants vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+10 -11045.5 -110+360
Cowboys -10 -11045.5 -110-500

Giants vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 12 game with 83.0% confidence.

Giants vs Cowboys Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 12 with 55.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Noah Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Giants

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Tony Pollard +400
Ezekiel Elliott +550
CeeDee Lamb +650
Saquon Barkley +900
Dalton Schultz +1200

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cowboys vs Giants

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Saquon Barkley -140
Tony Pollard -125
Ezekiel Elliott +100
CeeDee Lamb +120
Daniel Jones +180

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley 22.5 -120 22.5 -110
Lawrence Cager 17.5 -110 17.5 -120
Michael Gallup 40.5 -115 40.5 -120
Lawrence Cager 14.5 -120 14.5 -110
Darius Slayton 48.5 -115 48.5 -120

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cowboys vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Daniel Jones 38.5 -110 38.5 -120
Saquon Barkley 72.5 -110 72.5 -120
Dak Prescott 10.5 -120 10.5 -110
Ezekiel Elliott 44.5 -115 44.5 -115
Tony Pollard 61.5 -120 61.5 -110
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 7-3 (+3.75 Units / 34.72% ROI).

  • Giants are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 61.96% ROI
  • Giants are 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.75 Units / -42.99% ROI
  • Giants are 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 7-3 (+3.7 Units / 33.95% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 32.66% ROI
  • Cowboys are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Cowboys are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Giants are winless (0-8) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .207.

The Giants are 6-2 (.750) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 2-1 (.667) on the road this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .453.

The Giants are 5-1 (.833) when underdogs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .378.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Cowboys are 4-1 (.800) at home this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .540.

The Cowboys were 5-2 (.714) vs top 10 defenses last season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .425.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys RBs have averaged 10.1 yards after the catch this season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 9.9 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have gained 320 yards on 32 receptions (10.0 YPR) this season — third-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 11.2 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

Cowboys RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 15.1% of 86 carries since Week 7 — third-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed 10+ yards on 14.5% of carries to RBs since Week 7 — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Giants have thrown for 1,948 passing yards in 10 games (just 194.8 YPG) this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just 174.5 passing yards per game this season — best in NFL.

The Giants have thrown for 20+ yards on 16 of 284 attempts this season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys allowed 20+ yards on just 5.5% of attempts this season — best in NFL.

The Giants have thrown the ball just 43.7% of the time this season — fourth-lowest in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed just 5.6 yards per dropback this season — third-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Cowboys had a third down conversion rate of 71% in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Cowboys scored on 80% of their drives in Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

The Cowboys have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter since Week 8 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

The Cowboys have started 36 drives inside opposing territory since the 2021 season — 2nd-most in NFL.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Giants defense has forced 12 fumbles this season — tied for 2nd-most in NFL.

The Giants defense allowed 4 rushing TDs in Week 11 — most in NFL.

The Giants defense has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (5 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60%.

The Giants defense has allowed a passer rating of just 43.3 on 3rd and short (17 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 103.9.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats for Week 12

The Cowboys defense has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (42/353) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed 17 receptions for 20+ yards this season — fewest in NFL.

The Cowboys defense has forced 13 fumbles this season — most in NFL.

Only 37% of the plays run against the Cowboys have been in their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.