Giants vs Vikings Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 23, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Vikings (11-3) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Giants (8-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The New York Giants (8-5) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (11-3) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Giants vs. Vikings Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 16

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Giants+4 -11048.5 -110+170
Vikings -4 -11048.5 -110-210

Giants vs. Vikings Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 16 game with 55.3% confidence.

Giants vs Vikings Spread Prediction for Week 16

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread this Week 16 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Giants and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kenny Golladay has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Completions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daniel Jones has hit the Pass Attempts Over in his last 4 away games (+4.05 Units / 88% ROI)

Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
  • T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Alexander Mattison has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Giants

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Dalvin Cook +600
Justin Jefferson +600
Saquon Barkley +650
T.J. Hockenson +900
Adam Thielen +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Vikings vs Giants

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Saquon Barkley -165
Dalvin Cook -140
Justin Jefferson -120
T.J. Hockenson +130
Adam Thielen +140

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Justin Jefferson 90.5 -115 90.5 -120
Dalvin Cook 18.5 -115 18.5 -115
Hodgins 36.5 -110 36.5 -120
Richie James 37.5 -115 37.5 -115
Daniel Bellinger 27.5 -115 27.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Giants

Player Name Over Under
Saquon Barkley 72.5 -115 72.5 -115
Daniel Jones 33.5 -115 33.5 -120
Kirk Cousins 4.5 -115 4.5 -115
Dalvin Cook 80.5 -115 80.5 -115
  • The New York Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have scored last in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 10-4 (+5.65 Units / 37.17% ROI).

  • Giants are 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 45.67% ROI
  • Giants are 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.85 Units / -24.92% ROI
  • Giants are 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / ROI

Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 6-7 (-1.8 Units / -11.58% ROI).

  • Vikings are 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 38.43% ROI
  • Vikings are 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
  • Vikings are 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The Giants are winless (0-2) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .318.

The Giants are 6-3-1 (.600) when underdogs this season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .348.

The Giants are 7-3-1 (.636) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

The Giants are 7-2-1 (.700) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .584.

Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Vikings are undefeated (7-0) when forcing at least one fumble this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .587.

The Vikings are undefeated (10-0) when favorites this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .643.

The Vikings are 7-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Giants has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 48 s this season — fifth-highest in NFL.

The Vikings are undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .496.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings

Vikings RBs have 4 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since Week 12 — tied for fourth-most in NFL. The Giants have allowed 6 rushing TDs since Week 12 — tied for third-most in NFL.

Vikings WRs have 251.8 receiving yards per game since Week 12 — best in NFL. The Giants have averaged 191.5 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since Week 12 — fifth-worst in NFL.

The Vikings have scored 12 TDs in the red zone since Week 12 — second-most in NFL. The Giants have allowed 9 TDs when defending in the red zone since Week 12 — tied for fourth-most in NFL.

Giants RBs have averaged just 0.8 yards after contact per carry since Week 12 — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed just 0.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs since Week 12 — tied for best in NFL.

The Giants have thrown the ball 10 yards or less 74.9% of pass attempts this season — second-highest in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 6.6 yards per dropback on pass attempts between 1 and 10 yards this season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

Giants WRs averaged just 1.9 yards after the catch last week — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Vikings allowed just 2.2 yards after catch per reception to WRs in Week 14 — fifth-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Giants ran successful plays on 38% of pass attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 28% of plays in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Giants ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 52 of their 1,006 total passing attempts (5%) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 9%.

Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Vikings have run successful plays on 10% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 10% of rush attempts in close and late situations since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Vikings have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since Week 12 of the 2021 Season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Vikings have run the ball on 34% of plays (317 carries/923 plays) this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Giants defense has intercepted 4 of 457 attempts (114.2 pass attempts per int.) this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46.3.

The Giants defense has forced 19 fumbles this season — most in NFL.

41% of the plays ran against the Giants were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 15 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Giants defense has allowed first downs on 30% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 55%.

Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 16

The Vikings defense has allowed 293.4 receiving yards per game (4,107/14) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 237.2.

The Vikings defense has allowed an average of 1.2 yards after contact per carry (314 carries) to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.7.

The Vikings defense has allowed 208.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 159.2.

The Vikings defense allowed 200.7 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 160.3.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.