- The Dolphins are -3 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0-0) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Miami Gardens, FL.
The Dolphins are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The Jaguars vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Dolphins vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jaguars | +3 +100 | 49.5 -110 | +140 |
| Dolphins | -3 -120 | 49.5 -110 | -165 |
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Dolphins will win this game with 64.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Dolphins Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 63.2% confidence.
Bet now on Dolphins vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 72% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Braxton Berrios has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Braxton Berrios has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Durham Smythe has hit the Receptions Over in his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 90% ROI)
- Raheem Mostert has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Raheem Mostert has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Dolphins vs Jaguars
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill (Mia) | +650 |
| Travis Etienne (Jac) | +700 |
| Raheem Mostert (Mia) | +700 |
| Devon Achane (Mia) | +700 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Dolphins vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill (Mia) | -125 |
| Travis Etienne (Jac) | +100 |
| Raheem Mostert (Mia) | +115 |
| Devon Achane (Mia) | +115 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Dolphins vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne (JAC) | 18.5 -120 | 18.5 -110 |
| Christian Kirk (JAC) | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 |
| Tyreek Hill (MIA) | 97.5 -115 | 97.5 -120 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC) | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -115 |
| Jonnu Smith (MIA) | 24.5 -115 | 24.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Dolphins vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAC) | 15.5 -120 | 15.5 -110 |
| Raheem Mostert (MIA) | 42.5 -120 | 42.5 -110 |
| Devon Achane (MIA) | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 -110 |
| Travis Etienne (JAC) | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.20 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Jaguars went 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Jaguars are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 42.25% ROI
- Jaguars are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Jaguars are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Dolphins went 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Dolphins are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 30.59% ROI
- Dolphins are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Dolphins are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Jaguars were 4-1 (.800) vs bottom 10 pass offenses last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .641.
The Jaguars were 8-1 (.889) when leading at the end of first quarter last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .737.
The Jaguars were 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .652.
The Jaguars were 1-6 (.143) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .281.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Dolphins were winless (0-4) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Dolphins were undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .574.
The Dolphins are 15-6 (.714) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 239.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins were 4-3 (.571) on the road last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .442.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins were successful on 50.0% of plays they have run against a stacked front last season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Jaguars allowed their opponents to be successful on 50.0% of plays with a stacked front last season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins were successful on 57.4% of plays they have run on play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jaguars allowed their opponents to be successful on 54.3% of plays on play action passes last season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Dolphins have run successful plays on 55.6% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed successful plays on 55.1% of pass attempts on play action passes since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have been successful on 50.0% of plays they have run against a light rush since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed their opponents to be successful on 49.2% of plays with a light rush since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 52.7% of pass attempts against a light rush since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed successful plays on 50.9% of pass attempts with a light rush since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Jaguars RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on just 6.7% of 358 carries last season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Dolphins allowed 10+ yards on just 5.3% of carries to RBs last season — best in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars faced a blitz 40% of the time on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Jaguars ran 50% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 18 — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Jaguars turned the ball over on downs 5 times in the red zone last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Jaguars ran successful plays on 64% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
Miami Dolphins Offense: Important Stats
The Dolphins ran successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Dolphins had 19 TDs that were 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.
The Dolphins scored 8 TDs from their own territory last season — most in NFL.
The Dolphins have scored 13 TDs from their own territory since the 2022 season — most in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense allowed an average of 4.9 yards after contact per carry (23 carries) in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.0.
The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 76% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 16% on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Jaguars defense allowed an average of 1.5 yards after contact per carry (403 carries) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
Miami Dolphins Defense: Important Stats
The Dolphins defense allowed 0.44 epa per play at home in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
Dolphins were flagged 6 times for 10+ yards on defense last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Dolphins defense allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 32 of 415 carries (8%) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 11%.
The Dolphins defense allowed -0.22 epa per play with a light front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Dolphins vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Bills playoff odds, and Lions NFC Championship odds to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app — to start betting!
