Jets vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 10

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray throws a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)
(AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)
  • The Cardinals are -1 point favorites vs the Jets
  • Total (Over/Under): 46 points
  • Watch this game on CBS

The New York Jets (3-6-0) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (5-4-0) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Glendale, AZ.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (+100).

The Jets vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 46 total points for the game.

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Jets vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets+1 -12046 -110-110
Cardinals -1 +10046 -110-110

Jets vs. Cardinals Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this game with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jets vs Cardinals Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tyler Conklin has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Aaron Rodgers has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 96% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 67% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Kyler Murray has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • James Conner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cardinals vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI) 45.5 -115 45.5 -115
Breece Hall (NYJ) 27.5 -120 27.5 -110
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) 65.5 -115 65.5 -115
Davante Adams (NYJ) 65.5 -120 65.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cardinals vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Breece Hall (NYJ) 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
  • The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 19 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.08 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets art 3-6 (-3.7 Units / -36.63% ROI).

  • Jets are 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -47.92% ROI
  • Jets are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
  • Jets are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals are 6-3 (+2.6 Units / 25.74% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 29.06% ROI
  • Cardinals are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
  • Cardinals are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

The Jets are winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.

The Jets are 1-4 (.200) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Jets are winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Cardinals were winless (0-3) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals were 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.

The Cardinals were 1-12 (.077) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.

The Cardinals were winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals have been successful on just 25.5% of plays they have ran against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 28.6% of plays with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on just 23.5% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have been successful on just 22.2% of plays they have ran against a heavy rush this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 28.0% of plays with a heavy rush this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Jets ran just 7.4% offensive plays in the red zone last week — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Cardinals allowed their opponent to run just 5.8% of plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Jets ran just 7.4% offensive plays in the red zone last week — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Cardinals allowed their opponent to run just 5.8% of plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Jets ran just 7.4% offensive plays in the red zone last week — T-3rd-worst in NFL. The Cardinals allowed their opponent to run just 5.8% of plays in the red zone last week — 2nd-best in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets converted first downs on just 19 of 51 plays (37%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.

The Jets averaged 11.8 drives per TD last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Jets averaged -0.03 epa per play on first read passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats

The Cardinals have converted first downs on just 3 of 34 plays (9%) on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Cardinals had 23 rushes of 20+ yards last season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals have run successful plays on 27% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Cardinals have targeted TEs 32% of the time (254 Pass Attempts/807 plays) since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 39% of pass attempts against play action passes since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats

19% of the plays ran against the Cardinals were in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 with a stacked front (0 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 110.2.

The Cardinals defense has allowed successful plays on 55% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed first downs on 47% of plays on 3rd down since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.